Konyaspor vs Eyüpspor
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<html> <head> <title>Konyaspor vs Eyüpspor: Relegation Six-Pointer Preview</title> <meta charset="utf-8" /> </head> <body> <h2>Konyaspor vs Eyüpspor: Survival Stakes in Konya</h2> <p>Two out-of-form sides collide at the Medaş Konya Büyükşehir Stadyumu as 13th-placed Konyaspor host 17th-placed Eyüpspor in a classic mid-season relegation battle. With the table tightening below mid-table, the margin for error is slim and the psychological edge of the first goal could be decisive.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Konyaspor have stumbled through the last eight league matches at just 0.75 points per game, scoring a meagre 0.75 per game in that stretch and conceding 1.88. Eyüpspor are faring even worse: 0.63 ppg over their last eight, with only 0.50 goals scored per match and 1.63 conceded. The overall season picture mirrors this: Konyaspor sit on 17 points from 17, while Eyüpspor are marooned in the bottom two with 13 points and a -14 goal difference. For the visitors, away days have been punishing—just 0.5 ppg and a 75% failed-to-score rate on the road underline their bluntness.</p> <h3>Tactical Tendencies and Matchup</h3> <p>Konyaspor’s attack skews late. They’ve produced only 3 first-half home goals in nine attempts and average their strikes around the 53rd minute at home. That dovetails with Eyüpspor’s away pattern: they often suppress early danger (only 4 first-half goals conceded in eight away matches) but crack late, with five goals shipped between 76–90 minutes. Expect the home side to build slowly, using Yhoan Andzouana’s carries and Enis Bardhi’s delivery to feed target man Umut Nayir—responsible for eight league goals and a consistent box presence.</p> <p>Eyüpspor’s progression relies heavily on Kerem Demirbay’s distribution (31 key passes) and the intelligent timing of Emre Akbaba. However, the final action has deserted them—just ten league goals, and away output of 0.38 goals per match simply doesn’t travel. With Luccas Claro and Calegari unavailable, defensive structure and set-piece resistance are also under scrutiny.</p> <h3>Game State and Psychology</h3> <p>First goal impact is huge here. Konyaspor’s home lead-defending rate sits at 67%, while Eyüpspor average <em>0.00 ppg when conceding first</em> this season. Combine that with Eyüp’s away “team scored first” rate of only 12% and it hints at a scenario where, if the hosts edge ahead, the visitors lack the punch or belief to respond. Konyaspor’s ppg when scoring first at home is 2.33; the platform is there.</p> <h3>Numbers That Matter</h3> <ul> <li>Eyüpspor away failed to score: 75% (6/8), away GF: 0.38</li> <li>Konyaspor home first-half goals: 3 in 9 (33%)</li> <li>Eyüp away 2nd-half GA: 7 vs 1st half GA: 4; late collapses typical</li> <li>Eyüp ppg when conceding first: 0.00</li> </ul> <h3>Expected Patterns</h3> <p>The first half should be cagey, with Konyaspor probing without committing numbers and Eyüpspor content to compress central spaces. After the interval, expect the match to open up, particularly if a set-piece breaks the deadlock. Konyaspor’s late-goal profile aligns with Eyüpspor’s late concessions—this is where the hosts can tilt the match in their favor.</p> <h3>Injuries and Selection Notes</h3> <p>Konyaspor are without Riechedly Bazoer, subtracting some composure in their first phase, but their core creators—Bardhi and Andzouana—are available to feed Nayir. Eyüpspor miss Luccas Claro and Calegari, notable losses for aerial duels and defensive leadership; that’s particularly concerning against Konyaspor’s set-piece threat and direct supply to Nayir.</p> <h3>Angles for the Bettor</h3> <p>The data screams to fade Eyüpspor’s goal threat away from home. Prices of 2.20 on Eyüp not to score or a Konyaspor clean sheet look generous relative to a 60–65% projection. Given Konyaspor’s slow starts, the 1st-half home team under 0.5 at 2.18 also offers edge. If you want safety on the match result, Konyaspor Draw No Bet at 1.40 is a sturdy anchor.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>The metrics and matchup dynamics favor Konyaspor squeezing out a low-scoring result—most likely 1-0 or 2-0—built on a patient first half and decisive second-half moments. Survival stakes often reward discipline, and Eyüpspor’s chronic away bluntness is hard to ignore.</p> </body> </html>
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