Bandırmaspor vs Yeni Çorumspor

<div> <h2>Bandırmaspor vs Çorum FK: Cagey Beginnings, Punchy Finish?</h2> <p>Bandırmaspor welcome Çorum FK to Bandırma 17 Eylül Stadı on 22 November, with both sides eyeing precious points ahead of the winter grind. Eighth meets fifth in the 1. Lig, and the profiles suggest a tight opening half before the game opens up after the interval.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Bandırmaspor have steadied under a defensively tuned approach: unbeaten in six league matches and notably stingy at home (1.00 goals conceded per game, 43% clean sheets). They’ve leaned into draw-heavy home returns (W3 D3 L1) and have been adept in second-half surges.</p> <p>Çorum, fifth in the table, have been one of the division’s more entertaining travelers: 2.00 goals scored per away game, 1.50 conceded, and a striking 83% of away matches landing on Both Teams To Score. Their last eight show a defensive dip (goals against up 38% vs their seasonal average), mitigating some of their early-season sheen while keeping the attack humming.</p> <h3>Tactical Matchup</h3> <p>Bandırmaspor’s build-up is anchored by the ball-winning and distribution of Rémi Mulumba and Hikmet Çiftçi. Leandro Bacuna (5 league goals) has been the key finisher, arriving late in the box and converting from range and quick combos. The aerial presence of Atınç Nukan and Cédric Hountondji matters on both penalty areas, especially in a game likely to hinge on set pieces and restarts.</p> <p>For Çorum, Yusuf Erdoğan (3G, 6A) and Oğuz Gürbulak (4G) are the twin creators, threading through balls and providing early deliveries to Braian Samudio and Emeka Eze. Fullback Arda Şengül’s progressive passing is an underappreciated release valve that can pin Bandırma’s wide players back.</p> <h3>First-Half Balance, Second-Half Spark</h3> <p>The evidence points to parity before the break. Bandırmaspor’s home halftime draw rate sits at 57%, while Çorum’s away halftime draws hit 50%. Score distributions echo this, with Bandırma’s home HT results clustering at 0-0 and 1-1. Expect cautious pressing and compact mid-blocks, especially in cool late-November conditions that often depress early tempo.</p> <p>After halftime, the picture changes. Bandırma score 60% of their home goals after the interval, hitting strong patches in the 46–60 and 76–90 windows. Çorum’s away defense, meanwhile, concedes a majority of its goals after the break and is particularly vulnerable late. This tilt supports a 2nd-half-heavier goal expectation.</p> <h3>Key Numbers</h3> <ul> <li>Bandırmaspor home: 1.71 PPG, 1.00 GA, 43% clean sheets</li> <li>Çorum away: 1.67 PPG, 2.00 GF, 1.50 GA; BTTS 83%; Over 2.5 at 83%</li> <li>Halftime draw tendencies: Bandırma home 57%, Çorum away 50%</li> <li>Recent trend: Çorum last 8 goals against +38% vs season – defense regressing</li> </ul> <h3>What It Means for the Market</h3> <p>The market favors Çorum marginally away, but the venue’s draw weight and Bandırma’s defensive trend present counter-value. The first-half draw price looks generous. BTTS is also attractively priced given Çorum’s road profile and Bandırma’s improved cutting edge via Bacuna. A contrarian home +0.5 is live against public bias toward the higher-placed visitor.</p> <h3>Projected Game Script</h3> <p>Expect a conservative start with a premium on shape and transition defense. Set pieces will loom large. As legs tire and risk tolerance grows, the game should unlock in the final half-hour, where both teams have posted high-impact moments all season. A 1-1 or 2-1 either way feels most realistic, with 1-1 carrying the best blend of probability and price.</p> <h3>The Oracle’s View</h3> <p>First half to finish level is my primary angle. Second-half action should then pick up, suiting BTTS and a lean to the 2nd half as the higher-scoring period. If you’re seeking plus-money exacta, 1-1 sits right in the statistical sweet spot.</p> </div>