Sivasspor vs Adana Demirspor
Match Information
Match Preview
<html> <head><title>Sivasspor vs Adana Demirspor – Data-Driven Match Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Match Context</h2> <p>Sivasspor host Adana Demirspor at Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu on 25 September 2025 in Turkey’s 1. Lig. The supplied season data puts Sivasspor 16th with 5 points and Adana Demirspor 20th with 1 point after six rounds – contradicting some external notes suggesting the reverse. We lean on the structured stats provided here for accuracy.</p> <h3>Form and Momentum</h3> <ul> <li>Sivasspor’s home form is the foundation: 2.00 points per game, 0.50 goals conceded per home match, and 50% clean sheets. They’ve settled defensively in recent weeks (1-0 H, 0-0 A).</li> <li>Adana Demirspor arrive in free fall: five straight defeats, 0 wins in six, 3.83 goals conceded per match overall and 3.00 away. Time trailing sits at 64%.</li> </ul> <h3>Styles, Timings, and Tactical Matchups</h3> <p>The most striking asymmetry is in goal timing. All of Sivasspor’s home goals have arrived after halftime; their average goal time is minute 75. Conversely, Adana Demirspor’s defensive structure deteriorates as matches progress: 12 goals conceded in the second half and 7 in the 76–90 window alone. That dynamic reinforces a likely late tilt towards the hosts. Sivasspor’s 100% lead-defending rate suggests that once in front, they do not relinquish control.</p> <h3>Venue Split and Defensive Integrity</h3> <p>At home, Sivasspor’s numbers are sustainably robust: 1.00 GF, 0.50 GA, and a 50% clean-sheet rate. The backline combination of Uğur Çiftçi and Okan Erdoğan looks settled, while goalkeeper Ali Şaşal Vural (18 saves in 6) has provided stability. Adana’s young XI – including stretches with a 17-year-old goalkeeper – has been punished, shipping 17 goals in four appearances for Deniz Eren Dönmezer and three more even in a better-rated outing for Mustafa Yiğit Durmaz.</p> <h3>Key Players and Threats</h3> <ul> <li>Sivasspor: Charilaos Charisis (7.67 rating) contributes both phases and has already scored; Luan Campos adds direct ball-carrying and a recent goal, fitting the second-half surge profile.</li> <li>Adana Demirspor: Sefa Gülay and Ozan Demirbağ (one goal each) have shown flashes, but the team’s equalizing rate (29%) is low and their lead retention is 0%.</li> </ul> <h3>Market Read and Value</h3> <p>Books heavily favor the home side (1.08 ML), which leaves limited value on the straight result. The numbers point to better angles:</p> <ul> <li><strong>Second Half Over 1.5</strong> – Fits Sivas’s late scoring and Adana’s late collapses.</li> <li><strong>Sivasspor & Under 4.5</strong> – Sivas’s home defensive control suggests a win inside four goals. While Adana’s matches have been high-event, Sivas suppress totals at home.</li> <li><strong>Away to Score: No</strong> – Backed by Sivas home clean sheets, Adana’s attacking inexperience, and second-half defensive strength from the hosts.</li> <li><strong>Highest Scoring Half: Second</strong> – Aligns with both teams’ timing splits.</li> <li><strong>HT/FT Draw/Home (value)</strong> – Sivas rarely lead at the break (0% HT leads) but are much stronger after halftime.</li> </ul> <h3>Score Projection and Risk Notes</h3> <p>A 2-0 or 3-0 to Sivasspor fits the statistical profile: disciplined at home, opportunistic late, and facing a tiring, youthful defense. Our prop angle is 2-0. Risks: small sample size early in the season, and the possibility Adana opt for a deeper, damage-limiting block or goalkeeper change. As ever, check confirmed lineups one hour before kickoff for shifts (e.g., defensive shape or keeper selection) that could nudge totals or BTTS probabilities.</p> <h3>Bottom Line</h3> <p>The strongest edge is in the second half. Sivasspor’s late scoring trend meets Adana Demirspor’s late-game vulnerability – a data convergence that supports second-half goals and a home win with restrained totals.</p> </body> </html>
Betting Odds
Odds are currently unavailable.
Odds are provided for informational purposes. Please gamble responsibly.
AI Analysis & Predictions
Get comprehensive AI-powered analysis for this match with our advanced prediction models. Our AI considers team form, head-to-head records, player statistics, and real-time data to provide accurate insights.
- Real-time match predictions
- In-depth statistical analysis
- Live odds monitoring
- Expert betting insights