Amed vs Sarıyer
Match Information
Match Preview
<html> <head><title>Amed SK vs Sarıyer – Data-Led Match Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Form Guide and Context</h2> <p>Amed SK welcome Sarıyer to the Şilbe Spor Kompleksi on 25 September with both clubs still carving out early-season identities. Amed have started brightly (10 points from 5), translating attacking verve into points, while Sarıyer sit 19th with one point from five. Both sides have had 11–12 days’ rest since their last league action, meaning preparation time and physical freshness should be good.</p> <h3>Home Edge vs Travel Troubles</h3> <p>The venue split is stark. Amed collect 2.33 points per game at home with 67% wins; Sarıyer take 0.00 away with 100% defeats. The scoring patterns are equally decisive: Amed average 2.67 goals scored at home and have seen over 2.5 goals land in 100% of their home matches. Sarıyer concede first in every match so far and manage just 0.67 goals per away game.</p> <h3>How the Game May Flow</h3> <p>Expect a cagey first half that loosens after the interval. Amed’s home halftime record shows 67% draws, and Sarıyer’s away halftime outcomes also skew toward stalemates (67% draws). After the break, Amed surge—62% of their goals arrive in the second half, with a notable spike from 76–90 minutes. Sarıyer concede 62% of their goals in the second half and struggle to protect parity late on; they have shipped three goals in the final quarter-hour.</p> <h3>Key Players and Matchups</h3> <p>Dia Saba (5 goals in 5, 7.72 average rating) is the headliner for Amed. His shooting accuracy (10 shots on target from 13 attempts) and timing in the box have been exceptional. Fernando Andrade complements with 3 goals and 1 assist, and the supply line is surprisingly rich from right-back Murat Uçar, who already has 5 assists—his overlaps and crosses are a clear tactical weapon. The presence of Mbaye Diagne in recent match logs adds a penalty-box threat that stretches backlines.</p> <p>Sarıyer will look to Malaly Dembélé (2 goals) and Khouma Babacar (1) to turn limited possession into chances. Axel Urie’s dribbling (8/11 successful) suggests transition danger, but chance volume has been thin, and Amed’s centre-backs have handled aerial duels well so far. Veteran Papy Djilobodji anchors Sarıyer’s defense, yet the unit has been vulnerable to waves of pressure and late defensive concentration lapses.</p> <h3>Tactical Notes</h3> <p>Amed’s 4-2-3-1/4-3-3 hybrid leverages width and full-back overlaps—especially Uçar’s right flank delivery—to find Saba/Andrade on the move. Expect a steady tempo build, with more risk post-HT. Sarıyer’s best route is compact mid-block and countering through Dembélé and Urie; set pieces could be a leveller, but Amed’s attacking depth tilts the balance.</p> <h3>Markets to Watch</h3> <ul> <li>Match Winner – Amed (1.72): Home strength vs Sarıyer’s away struggles and 100% “opponent scored first” rate.</li> <li>Over 2.5 Goals (1.71): Amed home over 2.5 is 100%; Sarıyer away over 2.5 is 67%.</li> <li>Second Half Winner – Amed (2.04): Amed score 62% after HT; Sarıyer concede 62% after HT; late goals likely.</li> <li>Team to Score First – Amed (1.53): Sarıyer concede first in every match; Amed’s first-goal average is earlier than league baseline.</li> <li>AH -0.75 Amed (1.89): A practical way to capture superiority while maintaining half-win protection on a one-goal margin.</li> </ul> <h3>Risk Factors</h3> <p>Sample size remains modest (5 matches each). Amed’s lead-defending rate (50% at home) is slightly below league average, leaving occasional windows for equalizers. Sarıyer’s new arrivals could improve cohesion, but evidence is thin so far. Given Amed’s zero clean sheets to date, a late Sarıyer consolation can’t be ruled out.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>On balance, Amed should justify favoritism at home, and the game profile points to a busier second half. The safest path is the Amed moneyline, with overs and second-half angles offering attractive add-ons. A 3–1 home win fits the statistical and stylistic trends.</p> </body> </html>
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