76 Iğdır Belediyespor vs Serik Belediyespor

<div> <h2>76 Iğdır Belediyespor vs Serik Belediyespor: Data-Driven Match Preview</h2> <p>Date: Sunday, 14 September 2025 — Kickoff 13:00 UTC</p> <h3>Context and Stakes</h3> <p>Iğdır, newly promoted and eager to bed into the 1. Lig, have made a steady start (W1 D2 L1). Serik, who flirted with relegation last season, again look a bottom-half side (W1 D1 L2) and travel amid growing scrutiny. With no major injury news or suspensions flagged this week and fair weather forecast, conditions point to a clean, tactical contest.</p> <h3>Venue Edge: Iğdır’s Home Solidity vs Serik’s Road Struggles</h3> <p>At home, Iğdır average 2.00 points per game and concede just 0.5 per match, banking a 50% clean-sheet rate across two fixtures. Serik’s away record is stark: 0.50 PPG, 0.00 goals scored, and 2.50 conceded. They’ve failed to score in both road matches, and their away BTTS rate is 0%. The numbers strongly tilt towards Iğdır control and a low output from Serik.</p> <h3>Goal Flow and Timing</h3> <p>Serik’s away concessions cluster around 31–45 and 76–90 minutes, an uncomfortable blend of mid-half lapses and late-game fatigue. Iğdır at home have allowed only one first-half goal and none after the break, underlining the likelihood of Serik needing to unlock a well-organized block—a task they’ve not managed on their travels so far.</p> <h3>Situational Metrics: When the First Goal Matters</h3> <p>Serik are winless when conceding first (ppgWhenConcededFirst = 0.00), and away from home they have yet to score the opener. Iğdır, conversely, collect 3.00 PPG at home when they strike first. Serik’s equalizing rate sits at 0%, so if the hosts get ahead, the path to an Iğdır win to nil opens up quickly.</p> <h3>Key Players and Matchups</h3> <p>Iğdır’s Gianni Bruno has four goals from the team’s five—an 80% share—showcasing both penalty-box efficiency and timing (including a stoppage-time winner). Service should come from Eyüp Akcan (two assists) and the wide threats of Fofana and Rotariu. At the back, Bekaroğlu and Conté have steadied the structure, and goalkeeper Furkan Köse has been reliable.</p> <p>For Serik, Marcos Silva has provided the scoring touch (two goals, including penalties), but the front line—Sadygov, Kerem Şen, and João Amaral—has yet to register a league goal away. The center-back pairing of Gotsuk–Tikhiy faces a physical and mobile test against Bruno. Serik’s keeper İbrahim Demir has been busy (12 saves), a sign of the pressure they’re yielding.</p> <h3>Tactical Expectations</h3> <p>Iğdır will likely build patiently, compressing midfield with Oğuz Kağan and Akcan, and targeting Bruno early in the box. Their shape has been compact after the interval—no second-half goals conceded at home—so expect them to tighten control if they edge ahead. Serik may sit off and attempt transitions through Amaral’s craft and Silva’s forward surges, but they need more consistent territory to turn that into shots.</p> <h3>Odds and Value Calls</h3> <ul> <li>Both Teams to Score – No at 1.83: aligns with Serik’s 100% away FTS and Iğdır’s stingy home defense.</li> <li>Away Exact Goals 0 at 2.10: better price for effectively the same angle.</li> <li>First Half Draw at 2.38: Iğdır’s halftime draw rate is 75% overall and 100% at home.</li> <li>Win to Nil (Home) at 2.50: correlated with BTTS No but fair price given profiles.</li> <li>Correct Score 2-0 at 7.00: speculative, but consistent with the data contours.</li> </ul> <h3>Projected Lineups</h3> <p><strong>Iğdır (4-3-3):</strong> Köse; Kaya, Bekaroğlu, Conté, Cavlan; O.K. Güçtekin, Akcan, Erdoğan/Eysseric; Fofana, Bruno, Rotariu.</p> <p><strong>Serik (4-2-3-1):</strong> İ. Demir; Berkovskiy, Gotsuk, Tikhiy, İşçiler; Marcos Silva, B. Ceylan; Amaral, Kerem Şen, Burak Asan; Sadygov. (Çelenk a potential impact sub.)</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>The data—especially Serik’s road scoring drought—points to an Iğdır-controlled game, low Serik goal threat, and strong home clean-sheet chances. The smartest prices are BTTS No (1.83) and Away Goals = 0 (2.10), with additional value on First Half Draw (2.38) and Home Win to Nil (2.50). A professional performance should be enough for Iğdır to bank the points.</p> </div>