FC Andorra vs Granada CF
Match Information
Match Preview
<html> <head><title>FC Andorra vs Granada CF – Comprehensive Match Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Context and Stakes</h2> <p>Friday night under the Pyrenean lights brings a fascinating clash at the Estadi de la FAF d’Encamp: seventh-placed FC Andorra host twentieth-placed Granada CF. Andorra’s young, dynamic side has been potent at home, while Granada arrive on a four-match unbeaten run, seeking to consolidate after a turbulent start to life back in Segunda.</p> <h3>Venue Dynamics: Thin Air, Thick Plot</h3> <p>Encamp’s altitude and October’s cool air often translate into games that open up after half-time. The data bears this out: Andorra score 62% of their goals in the second half, while Granada concede 60% after the interval. Expect tempo to rise late, with fatigue and stretched spacing creating chances on both ends.</p> <h3>Form Snapshot</h3> <p>Andorra’s macro-form is strong (1.56 ppg season; 1.63 over last eight), but they come off consecutive defeats (Leganés 1–2, Real Sociedad B 0–3). At home, however, they’ve been reliably entertaining: 1.75 ppg, 1.75 GF/1.25 GA, 75% Over 2.5, and BTTS in all four home matches. Granada have steadied in recent weeks: a 0–0 with Las Palmas and a 5–2 dismantling of Real Sociedad B sandwiched around an away win at Huesca and a draw at Burgos. Away numbers are middling (1.25 ppg, 1.0 GF/1.5 GA), but their recent discipline suggests a more compact shape early before the legs tire late.</p> <h3>Tactical Matchup</h3> <p>Andorra’s possession-centric approach at home encourages high full-back positioning and aggressive rotations in the half-spaces. That yields chances (and counters conceded). Granada’s best moments have come when they spring quickly in transition, with wide threats like Álex Sola and the in-form Souleymane Faye able to exploit channels behind Andorra’s wing-backs. The twist is Granada’s tendency to fade: average conceded minute sits at 52, indicating second-half vulnerability—particularly in the 61–75 and closing stages.</p> <h3>Key Numbers That Matter</h3> <ul> <li>Andorra home: Over 2.5 in 75%; BTTS in 100%; zero home clean sheets, zero home blanks.</li> <li>Granada away: 50% BTTS; 50% Over 2.5; concede 1.5 goals per game on the road.</li> <li>Totals profile: both clubs average 2.89 total goals per match; Andorra’s home matches average 3.00.</li> <li>Game state: If Andorra score first, they average 2.50 ppg; Granada’s ppg when conceding first is 0.20—very poor chasers.</li> </ul> <h3>Players to Watch</h3> <p>For Andorra, Dani Villahermosa (3 goals) times late box arrivals well, Min-su Kim adds direct threat (2G, 3A), and Lautaro de León is a focal point who has taken penalties this season. Álex Calvo’s cameos have been impactful, while defender Gael Alonso is contributing at both ends.</p> <p>Granada lean on Luca Zidane’s shot-stopping to keep them in games. In front of him, Loïc Williams and Manu Lama have had heavy workloads. Further upfield, Rubén Alcaraz’s ball-striking and set-play delivery matter, while Álex Sola and Pedro Alemañ provide width and ball progression. Souleymane Faye enters with confidence after his brace against Real Sociedad B.</p> <h3>Market View and Edges</h3> <p>The match line tilts slightly to Andorra (2.25), but the true standout values sit in totals and both teams to score. Given Andorra’s pristine BTTS-at-home record and the sides’ combined 2.89 goals per game, Over 2.25 goals gives insurance with a solid upside. The second-half being the highest scoring half at plus money (2.05) lines up neatly with both teams’ timing splits and Encamp’s late-game dynamic.</p> <h3>Projected Flow</h3> <p>Granada can contain early and threaten sporadically on the break, but Andorra’s sustained possession and pressure usually bite after the interval. Expect momentum swings and at least one period of end-to-end play in the second half. A 1–1 or 2–1 game state late feels live, with added equity on a late Andorra winner if they’ve worn Granada down.</p> <h3>The Oracle’s Lean</h3> <p>Totals and BTTS are the smarter angles than a heavy moneyline stance. Over 2.25, BTTS Yes, and 2nd Half Highest Scoring half are aligned with the numbers and the venue. For a sprinkle, Lautaro de León anytime scorer offers a fair price given his penalty duty and central role.</p> </body> </html>
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