Granada CF vs Eibar
Match Information
Match Preview
<html> <body> <h2>Granada vs Eibar: Relegation-Six Pointer With a Numbers Edge to the Hosts</h2> <p>Granada welcome Eibar to Los Cármenes in a game that matters far more than the mid-table labels suggest. Both are fighting to pull away from the drop zone, and the underlying numbers sharpen the narrative: Eibar are respectable at Ipurua but among the league’s worst travelers, while Granada draw more than most yet rarely get battered in front of their fans.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Granada sit 20th with 22 points after 21 games, Eibar 17th on 24. Over the last eight, both clubs have managed eight points (1.00 PPG), so momentum is not clearly with either. Yet venue splits tell the real story: Granada take 1.09 PPG at home, losing only 3 of 11; Eibar’s away return is an alarming 0.30 PPG (0W-3D-7L), with just 0.50 goals scored per game. That chasm in road form shapes the probabilities here.</p> <h3>Tactical Tendencies</h3> <p>Granada’s recent evolution has centered on tightening the mid-block and leaning on direct runners from fullback and wide areas. Right-back Álex Sola has been a consistent outlet, contributing two goals, one assist, and 20 key passes—his overlaps can pin back Eibar’s flank. With Luca Zidane steady in goal and a core that includes Alcaraz and Trigueros to control tempo, Granada’s at-home structure is robust, if not explosive.</p> <p>Eibar under pressure away from home often settle into a 4-2-3-1 that seeks transitions to wide forwards. Javi Martón (six league goals) is their clearest scoring threat, aided by José Corpas and Aleix Garrido for entries between the lines. The problem: away, Eibar struggle to progress the ball and sustain pressure, reflected in a 50% failed-to-score rate and a feeble equalizing rate (12%). When they concede first on the road, they don’t recover.</p> <h3>Goal Timing: Watch the First Half Caution, Second Half Swing</h3> <p>Expect a cautious opening. Granada’s home matches are 0-0 at halftime 45% of the time; Eibar away 40%. Eibar’s away first-half production is minimal (2 GF, 8 GA). The second half, however, tilts livelier: Eibar score 70% of their goals after the break, and Granada concede a larger share late. That asymmetry favors “Highest Scoring Half – 2nd” markets and supports an Under angle overall.</p> <h3>Set-Pieces and Discipline</h3> <p>Granada are physically competitive in the box, and Eibar are decent on restarts through Arbilla and Cubero, yet their away x-threat is limited by field position. Cards could climb given the stakes, but without referee data the pricing is tight; the cleaner edge lies with totals and handicap markets.</p> <h3>Why The Oracle Prefers Granada With Insurance</h3> <ul> <li>Eibar away: 0 wins in 10, 0.30 PPG, 50% fail to score.</li> <li>Granada at home: only 3 losses in 11, draw-heavy but resilient.</li> <li>Eibar away opponent scores first 70%; away equalizing rate just 12%.</li> <li>Totals lean under: Granada home Over 2.5 only 36%; Eibar away Over 2.5 only 40%.</li> </ul> <p>Given Granada’s draw propensity, the smart risk management is Granada +0 (DNB) rather than a straight home win, capturing the win while protecting the bankroll on a stalemate.</p> <h3>Players to Watch</h3> <p>For Granada, Jorge Pascual and Pedro Alemany (five league goals each per recent reports) are the penalty-box references, with Sola’s deliveries a key supply line. For Eibar, Martón’s movement is the main threat; Corpas can manipulate half-spaces but often lacks away support.</p> <h3>The Oracle’s Verdict</h3> <p>The game profile is tight, tactical, and likely short on goals early. The venue split is too stark to ignore: Eibar’s road form remains the outlier that anchors this card. The Oracle backs Granada on Draw No Bet and the unders suite (especially Under 2.25 and First Half Under 0.5), with a speculative nod at 1-0 home correct score.</p> </body> </html>
Betting Odds
Odds are currently unavailable.
Odds are provided for informational purposes. Please gamble responsibly.
AI Analysis & Predictions
Get comprehensive AI-powered analysis for this match with our advanced prediction models. Our AI considers team form, head-to-head records, player statistics, and real-time data to provide accurate insights.
- Real-time match predictions
- In-depth statistical analysis
- Live odds monitoring
- Expert betting insights