Deportivo La Coruna vs AD Ceuta FC
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<html> <head><title>Deportivo La Coruña vs AD Ceuta FC — Tactical and Betting Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Match Context</h2> <p>Estadio Abanca-Riazor hosts a classic Segunda División contrast on 23 November: leaders-grade Deportivo La Coruña, unbeaten at home, welcome an AD Ceuta FC side whose away game has been stubborn but goal-shy. The weather is set fair (14–16°C, light breeze), so tempo and technical quality should shine.</p> <h3>Form and Momentum</h3> <p>Deportivo arrive in rhythm: three straight league wins (3-1 at Córdoba, 3-0 vs Cultural Leonesa, 2-0 at Real Zaragoza) and an unbeaten run of four. The attack is multi-pronged — Yeremay Hernández (5G, 4 from the spot), Zakaria Eddahchouri (7G), David Mella (4G), and Mario Soriano (3G, 3A) — while Parreño’s assured goalkeeping underpins a 0.33 goals-against at Riazor. The only cloud is personnel depth at the back, with Ximo Navarro reportedly doubtful, but the core defensive metrics at home remain elite.</p> <p>Ceuta’s recent arc is more complex. Their last eight show defensive tightening (0.50 GA on average), but they enter off consecutive defeats — 1-2 at home to Leganés and 0-2 away at Córdoba. On the road, production is the issue: 0.71 goals per match and a 57% rate of failing to score. José Matos at left-back brings thrust (2 goals), Kuki Zalazar knits play, and Youness Lachhab gives control, yet a reliable finisher has not emerged.</p> <h3>Tactical Matchup</h3> <p>Depor’s shape is stable, with full-backs supplying width and the 8/10 lanes (Soriano, Yeremay, Mella) breaking lines late. That marries well against Ceuta’s mid-block, which is disciplined but can be stretched horizontally. The Riazor pitch enhances Depor’s switches of play; expect the hosts to persist, valuing percentage entries and exploiting the second half as the away block tires.</p> <p>Ceuta’s best route is set plays and counter-pressure steals; however, Depor’s home lead-defending rate (100%) and equalizing rate (100%) reflect mature game-state control. If Depor strike first — and they often do at home — Ceuta’s away PPG when conceding first (0.00) becomes a serious handicap.</p> <h3>Key Numbers to Watch</h3> <ul> <li>Depor home clean sheets: 67%; Ceuta away failed to score: 57%.</li> <li>Depor second-half profile: 63% of goals after HT; 76–90’ surge potent.</li> <li>Ceuta away first-half concessions heavy (8 GA in 1H); limited second-half scoring (2 GF).</li> <li>Totals lens: Depor home games average 2.0 goals; Ceuta overall 2.15.</li> </ul> <h3>Betting Outlook</h3> <p>The market makes Deportivo clear favorites (1.69), but the sharper angles lie in goal-suppression markets. “Ceuta Under 0.5 Goals” at 2.25 closely tracks the most robust split-matchup edge. BTTS No at 1.83 and Under 2.5 at 1.83 are supported by venue totals and Ceuta’s output profile. Given Depor’s late strength, “Second Half Winner – Deportivo” at 2.05 and “Highest Scoring Half – 2nd” at 2.00 bring attractive prices for game-flow bettors.</p> <h3>Players to Watch</h3> <p>Yeremay Hernández is pivotal: penalty duty, box-arrival timing, and 1v1 talent pose persistent problems for compact defenses. Zakaria Eddahchouri’s movement between center-backs amplifies that threat. For Ceuta, José Matos’s overlaps are their sharpest attacking pattern; Youness Lachhab’s distribution must be crisp to beat Depor’s counter-press and avoid cheap turnovers in zone 14.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Deportivo La Coruña to shut Ceuta out is the central theme. Scorelines like 1-0 or 2-0 fit the data best, with the decisive moments likely to arrive after the interval as Depor’s pressure compounds. If the hosts break the deadlock, Ceuta’s low equalizing rate away suggests the match drifts toward a controlled home win.</p> </body> </html>
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