Eibar II vs Deportivo Alavés II

<div> <h2>Eibar B vs Deportivo Alavés B: Data Points Favor the Hosts, But Expect a Cagey Contest</h2> <p> Round 4 of Spain’s Segunda Federación Group 2 brings an intriguing Basque clash as Eibar B host Deportivo Alavés B. It’s still early days in the season, but venue splits, recent form patterns, and the opening weeks’ statistics offer a roadmap to how this game could unfold. Odds position Eibar B as narrow favorites (Home 1.83, Draw 3.40, Away 3.60), with the totals market shading toward a low-scoring match (Under 2.5 at 1.57). </p> <h3>Home/Away Splits: Why Eibar B Have a Nudge</h3> <p> The sharpest indicator here is the venue. Eibar B have a perfect record at home so far (1/1 wins), scoring four in that wild 4–3 victory over Alfaro. In contrast, Alavés B have yet to take a point or score a goal away from home (0–1 at Mutilvera). Across the tiny sample, Eibar B’s 3.00 points per game at home outweigh Alavés B’s 0.00 away PPG. </p> <p> Last season’s head-to-head also leans toward Eibar B, who reportedly won both meetings. Add mild weather in Eibar and stable conditions, and the stage is set for the hosts to apply their proactive, pressing style at Ipurua’s annex. </p> <h3>Form Trajectories and Match Rhythm</h3> <p> Both teams enter with three points from three games. Eibar B’s L–W–L sequence masks the fact that their two losses came on the road without scoring (2–0 at SD Logroñés and 1–0 at Tudelano). At home, they erupted—albeit with defensive leaks—suggesting a more expansive approach in front of their fans. Alavés B opened with a tidy 2–0 against UD Logroñés, then fell 1–0 away and 0–1 at home to SD Logroñés. The current run is two straight defeats without a goal, and that matters for forecasting. </p> <h3>Totals Profile: Low-Event Alavés B vs High-Variance Eibar B</h3> <p> Alavés B have played three straight unders (0/3 Over 2.5) with an average of 1.33 total goals per match. Their away data shows 100% failed to score. Eibar B’s profile is trickier: two away matches ended 1–0/0–1, but their only home game turned into a seven-goal shootout. Which version do we get? </p> <p> Market pricing suggests the book leans toward Alavés B dictating a lower-event tempo (Under 2.5 at 1.57; BTTS No at 1.69). Given Alavés B’s 0% BTTS and FTS issues away, the safer totals angle remains on the under side, while still acknowledging Eibar B’s volatile home sample. </p> <h3>Tactical Notes and Team News</h3> <p> Eibar B are likely to press with energy, seeking early territory and to pin Alavés B back. The hosts are missing Ander Madariaga through injury, but otherwise there are no major absences flagged. Alavés B report a full squad; their recent matches point to compactness and counter-attacking as the road blueprint. Expect Alavés B to prioritize shape and deny central space, aiming to nick transitions rather than dominate possession. </p> <h3>Key Matchups and What Decides It</h3> <p> The game likely hinges on whether Alavés B can break their away scoring duck. If they continue their away trend (0 GF), Eibar B’s job becomes a matter of patience and precision. The hosts’ defensive fragility at home (conceding 3 to Alfaro) is the main counterargument to a simple home win narrative—yet Alavés B’s current two-match scoreless streak softens that concern. </p> <h3>Best Bets and Odds View</h3> <p> Our top angle is Eibar B -0.5 at 1.90, which offers better value than the 1X2 home price (1.83) for the same outcome. Supporting picks align with the visitors’ low-event profile: BTTS No (1.69) and Under 2.5 (1.57). For a price-driven prop, Eibar B 1–0 at 6.00 fits the pattern of Alavés B’s narrow losses and FTS issues away. </p> <h3>Bottom Line</h3> <p> Early-season caveats aside, the clearest statistical signal is Alavés B’s away scoring drought and 0% BTTS. Pair that with Eibar B’s strong home split and last season’s H2H edge, and the hosts merit favoritism. Expect a tight affair with the home side edging it—likely in a low-scoring game if Alavés B’s trend holds. </p> </div>