Ibiza vs Antequera
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<html> <head> <title>UD Ibiza vs Antequera – Data-Led Preview, Picks and Odds</title> </head> <body> <h2>Overview</h2> <p>UD Ibiza host Antequera at Can Misses in a Primera RFEF Group 2 contest where the numbers point firmly toward the home side. It’s early days in the season, but Ibiza have settled quickly (7 points from 3) and sit atop the form table, while Antequera are bottom with just a single point.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Ibiza arrive with strong momentum and a positive mood around the club, powered by a balanced attack and better defensive structure than last year. Media sentiment frames them as legitimate promotion contenders if they maintain consistency. Antequera, meanwhile, are seeking stability after a difficult start and a lean transfer window; local sentiment is cautious, urging patience but conscious of the early table pressure.</p> <h3>Venue Dynamics</h3> <p>Can Misses has already yielded three points for Ibiza, who beat Hércules 2–1 in their only home game. Ibiza’s “time leading” is a striking 56%, and they’ve led at half-time in 67% of matches (100% at home). Antequera’s away data is sparse (one game) but not encouraging: a 1–0 defeat in Tarazona with the decisive goal conceded in the 90th minute. The visitors have yet to score away and have failed to score in two of three overall.</p> <h3>Tactical Picture</h3> <p>Ibiza’s attack is varied: Bebé has been influential as an outlet and finisher, with support from Álex Gallar and Ernesto. Expect them to stress Antequera’s full-back channels and attack early, in line with their average first goal timing (11’). Antequera will prioritize compactness, likely in a 4-4-2/4-2-3-1 mid-to-low block, hoping to drag the match into a slower rhythm and chase a set-play moment.</p> <h3>Key Numbers That Matter</h3> <ul> <li>PPG split: Ibiza 2.33 vs Antequera 0.33.</li> <li>Scoring trends: Antequera 0.33 goals/game; failed to score 67% overall and 100% away.</li> <li>Totals: Both clubs at 100% under 3.5 goals to date.</li> <li>Situational: Ibiza 3.00 PPG when scoring first; Antequera 0.00 PPG when conceding first.</li> <li>Late-game pattern: Antequera have conceded twice in 76–90; away GA at 90’.</li> </ul> <h3>Odds and Value</h3> <p>Market prices frame Ibiza as clear favourites (1.60 ML), but the more interesting edges are combination and handicap angles. “Ibiza & Under 3.5” at 2.12 aligns with both clubs’ under-3.5 trend and Antequera’s low scoring. The -0.75 Asian line at 1.73 captures the gap in class and form, while the First Half (2.15) and Second Half (2.05) winner markets for Ibiza lean into the hosts’ quick starts and Antequera’s late drop-off.</p> <h3>Risks and Red Flags</h3> <p>Sample size is small (three games each). Ibiza’s clean sheet rate is 0% so far and their early concessions (average first conceded at 5’) could bite a “to nil” stance. Still, Antequera’s attack has not shown enough to be trusted, especially away.</p> <h3>Projected Flow and Verdict</h3> <p>Expect Ibiza to control territory and create early pressure, with Antequera trying to slow transitions and protect the box. If Ibiza score first, the match state strongly favours them. With both teams trending under 3.5 and Antequera struggling for goals, a controlled home win is the likeliest outcome.</p> <h3>Best Bets</h3> <ul> <li>Primary: Ibiza & Under 3.5 @ 2.12</li> <li>Secondary: Ibiza -0.75 @ 1.73; First Half Ibiza @ 2.15; Second Half Ibiza @ 2.05</li> <li>Prop: Correct Score 2–0 @ 6.50</li> </ul> <p><em>Note:</em> Check confirmed lineups an hour before kickoff; no major injuries are reported at time of writing, but late changes can affect the tactical landscape and bets.</p> </body> </html>
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