Athletic Club W vs Levante W
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<html> <head><title>Athletic Club W vs Levante W — Liga F Preview</title></head> <body> <h1>Athletic Club W vs Levante W: Lezama expects a reset</h1> <p>Instalaciones de Lezama sets the scene for a must-win assignment for Athletic Club Women against a Levante side marooned at the bottom. The table and the trends point one way: Athletic consolidating after a sticky start; Levante searching for a lifeline.</p> <h2>Form and context</h2> <p>Athletic enter with 13 points from 12 (2–7–3), notably improving over the last eight games: points per game up to 1.38 and goals conceded down to 1.00. A 2–0 home win over Eibar and a 1–1 at Real Sociedad hinted at a sturdier baseline, followed by a confidence-boosting 5–1 away at Granada.</p> <p>Levante, by contrast, have endured a brutal run. They sit 16th with two points, winless (0–2–10), averaging 0.42 goals per game and conceding 2.17. Recent defeats to title-chasers have amplified the slump, and a 0–4 vs Barcelona underlined the gulf. Away from home, Levante average 0.33 goals and have failed to score in two-thirds of their trips.</p> <h2>Tactical expectations</h2> <p>Athletic are likely to play a 4-3-3/4-2-3-1 hybrid, using width and half-spaces at Lezama. Expect an assertive start, with full-backs advancing and a focus on crossing to test Levante’s aerial resolve. Set pieces could be decisive—defender Naroa Nevado’s threat adds a layer to the hosts’ arsenal, while the in-form Amaia Azkona provides the finishing edge.</p> <p>Levante should arrive compact, prioritizing damage limitation in a 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1. Given their defensive numbers and lack of a consistent goal threat, transitions will be their best outlet. The problem: their ball progression has faltered, and they struggle to sustain attacks in the final third.</p> <h2>Key numbers that shape the market</h2> <ul> <li>Levante away failed to score: 67%; away GF: 0.33 per match.</li> <li>Athletic home clean sheet rate: 50%; last eight GA: 1.00 per match.</li> <li>Athletic over 2.5 only 25% this season; profile suits lower totals.</li> <li>Levante over 2.5 at 50% is skewed by heavy defeats; if they don’t score, the only way over lands is a rare 3+ from Athletic.</li> </ul> <h2>Where the value lies</h2> <p>The sharpest angle is a fade of Levante’s goal. “Away Team Under 0.5” at 1.90 prices the no-goal outcome at ~52.6%—the data suggests north of 60% given the away splits and Athletic’s defensive uptick. It even covers 0–0, which the crowd may overlook.</p> <p>For plus-money, Athletic -1.5 at 1.93 leans into the most likely win states: 2–0 or 3–0. With Levante conceding 2.33 away and bottom by some margin, a two-goal margin is realistic. Unders bettors should look at Under 2.5 at 2.15; the balance of probabilities points to a low-scoring home win. “Win to nil” at 2.00 is another aligned entry, though it doesn’t cover a stalemate.</p> <h2>Players to watch</h2> <p>Amaia Azkona leads Athletic’s line with direct running and finishing; set-piece situations magnify Naroa Nevado’s impact. In midfield, a blend of youth and energy (Zubieta, González) provides ball-winning and second-phase shots. Levante’s senior figures, like Dolores Silva and Anissa Lahmari, carry experience but need a collective lift to stem the tide.</p> <h2>Weather and pitch</h2> <p>Cool, cloudy conditions with a chance of light showers make for a slick surface. That typically favors the home side’s familiarity and territory game, reinforcing Athletic’s crossing-and-second-ball plan.</p> <h2>The Oracle’s verdict</h2> <p>Everything points to an Athletic-controlled affair, with Levante’s attack unlikely to break through. The modal scoreline is 2–0, consistent with the handicap and totals strategy. If Athletic score first, expect the game to tilt further their way, with set pieces a likely contributor to the cushion.</p> </body> </html>
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