Edf Logrono W vs Granada

<div> <h2>DUX Logroño W vs Granada W: Data says goals and Granada edge</h2> <p>Two early-season narratives collide in Logroño. The hosts have been sliding, struggling to protect leads and conceding heavily in key moments, while Granada arrive with a confident away profile and a front line that looks increasingly cohesive. Mild autumn conditions (around 18°C) should favor an open game without weather-driven noise.</p> <h3>Form and Momentum</h3> <p>Logroño’s start has been turbulent. They are winless in five league outings, with a home PPG of 0.33 and 2.33 goals conceded per home match. The numbers also confirm a structural issue: a lead-defending rate of 0% and 0.00 points per game when scoring first. Even in better spells, Logroño’s inability to close has cost them, most notably against Real Madrid (2-2 after leading late) and Alhama (2-4 after equalizing).</p> <p>Granada, by contrast, have been resilient away from home. They’re unbeaten in two on the road (2.00 PPG), averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. They’ve equalized in every away match when behind (equalizing rate 100%) and take a full 3.00 PPG when they score first. Those are hallmarks of an away side that can ride pressure and still produce results.</p> <h3>Tactical Tendencies and Timing</h3> <p>Expect a match that ramps up after the break. Granada score 83% of their goals in the second half across all venues, and away they’ve been especially efficient from minutes 46 to 75. Logroño’s late-game fragility is stark: at home they have shipped four goals between 76’ and 90’, with an average minute conceded of 66. This convergence favors late away pressure and aligns with markets such as “Highest Scoring Half – 2nd Half.”</p> <h3>Where the Goals Come From</h3> <p>Logroño’s threat is likely to flow through Isina and Mía Asenjo, with Paula Partido providing the secondary punch they’ll need if chasing. They create enough at home to get on the board (BTTS hits 67% at home). But Granada’s attack can overwhelm. Sonya Keefe has been a consistent source of goals, striking in both away and home wins, while L. Sánchez’s brace against Eibar underscored Granada’s depth of finishing options from wide and second-line runs. The visitors’ ability to transition quickly into space behind Logroño’s fullbacks is a recurring theme.</p> <h3>Key Metrics Against the League Baseline</h3> <p>Logroño concede 2.20 goals per game versus a league average of 1.34, and they have registered zero home clean sheets against a league CS rate near 38%. Granada’s away returns are clearly above average: 2.00 PPG away (league 1.40), BTTS 100% away (league 38%), and Over 1.5 away 100% (league 71%). Those comparative edges point toward both teams contributing to the score while Granada maintain a win probability advantage.</p> <h3>Market View and Value</h3> <p>The market’s 1.95 on the away win looks fair to slightly generous given the away split superiority (2.00 PPG vs 0.33). The 1.73 on BTTS is underpinned by venue-specific BTTS rates (67% home; 100% away) and the absence of clean sheets for either side in these splits. Totals bettors get near-even money on Over 2.5 at 1.95, which correlates with Logroño’s 3.67 home goals per game and Granada’s overall Over 2.5 profile (60%).</p> <h3>Projected Match Pattern</h3> <p>Logroño will try to keep the first half controlled—where they’re 60% level at HT—before the match opens up. Granada’s second-half surges, coupled with Logroño’s late concessions, should tilt the closing phase. Expect both sides to score, with Granada’s more reliable finishing and better away resilience deciding marginal phases.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>BTTS Yes is the highest-confidence angle, supported by split-specific data and stylistic matchups. Granada to win and Over 2.5 sit closely behind, while 2nd half to be the highest-scoring half offers plus-money value consistent with both teams’ timing profiles. For long odds, 1-2 Granada mirrors the cluster of observed scorelines and tactical expectations.</p> </div>