Getafe vs Alaves
Match Information
Match Preview
<html> <head><title>Getafe vs Alavés Preview, Odds & Tactical Insight</title></head> <body> <h2>Getafe vs Alavés: Cagey Madrid Clash Looms</h2> <p>Two disciplined sides with pragmatic streaks meet in the south of Madrid, as Getafe host Alavés under mild late-September conditions. Early-season momentum favors the hosts, but both teams have shown a stubborn defensive backbone that points to a tight, low-scoring encounter.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Getafe’s start has been quietly impressive: wins at Celta and Sevilla, a routine 2-0 home victory, offset by heavy away losses to Valencia and Barcelona. They sit 8th in the table with 9 points from 5 matches, defending leads well (overall lead-defending rate 75%, home 100%).</p> <p>Alavés are mid-table (10th) with 7 points from 5, and their travel profile is stark: two away games finished 1-0 and 0-1, signaling extreme under trends (away total goals per game 1.00, 0% Over 1.5, 0% BTTS).</p> <h3>Team News and Tactical Setups</h3> <p>Getafe will welcome back <strong>Borja Mayoral</strong>, a significant boost to their front line. Injuries to Nabil Aberdin and Álvaro Rodríguez are noted but not central. Expect a 3-5-2 with wing-back thrust via Diego Rico and Davinchi, underpinned by Mauro Arambarri’s screening and <strong>Luis Milla</strong>’s creativity (already 4 assists).</p> <p>Alavés have a mostly clean bill of health, with <strong>Nahuel Tenaglia</strong> a doubt. The 4-4-2 will likely feature <strong>Antonio Sivera</strong> (excellent start, 16 saves), <strong>Antonio Blanco</strong>’s control in midfield, and <strong>Carlos Vicente</strong> as the danger man (2 goals, both penalties). Up front, <strong>Toni Martínez</strong>’s graft complements the aerial presence of <strong>Mariano Díaz</strong>.</p> <h3>Key Match Themes</h3> <ul> <li><strong>Low Scoring Likely:</strong> Getafe’s solitary home match ended 2-0, while both Alavés away games landed 1-0. Both teams’ venue splits scream “Under 2.5” and “BTTS No.”</li> <li><strong>First Goal Is Gold:</strong> Both sides average 3.00 PPG when scoring first, and struggle when conceding first. Getafe at home have scored first 100% of the time; Alavés concede early on average (overall conceded first minute 11).</li> <li><strong>Set-Piece and Penalty Factor:</strong> Alavés’ main output has come from penalties (Carlos Vicente 2/2). Getafe’s robust central trio (Djené, Berrocal, Iglesias) plus Arambarri’s work rate could cut off supply, but rash challenges around the box must be avoided.</li> </ul> <h3>Individual Battles to Watch</h3> <ul> <li><strong>Luis Milla vs Antonio Blanco:</strong> Two metronomes; Milla has been a final-ball machine (11 key passes), while Blanco anchors Alavés’ shape with intensity (15 tackles, 10 interceptions).</li> <li><strong>Mayoral & Liso vs Garcés/Tenaglia:</strong> If Tenaglia is out, Garcés shoulders more. <em>Adrián Liso</em>’s direct running has yielded 3 goals (all away), but Mayoral’s movement inside the box suits tight home games.</li> <li><strong>Soria vs Sivera:</strong> Two experienced keepers; Sivera has been outstanding early. In a game of fine margins, a single high-quality save could decide it.</li> </ul> <h3>Numbers That Matter</h3> <ul> <li>Getafe home: 2.00 GF, 0.00 GA; BTTS 0%</li> <li>Alavés away: 0.50 GF, 0.50 GA; 0% Over 1.5, BTTS 0%</li> <li>Getafe lead-defending rate at home: 100%</li> </ul> <h3>Risk Factors</h3> <p>It’s early season (small samples), and Getafe’s overall profile includes two 3-0 away losses, inflating their Over 2.5 rate. Also, Alavés’ propensity to nick penalties adds a swing variable. Rest days favor Alavés slightly (4 vs Getafe’s 3), possibly affecting late-game energy.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>Data-weighted tendencies point toward a controlled Getafe display, with the home side better placed to edge a low-margin victory. The safest angles are BTTS No and Under 2.5, with Getafe DNB a sensible position. The modal scoreline cluster is 1-0/0-0/2-0.</p> </body> </html>
Betting Odds
Odds are currently unavailable.
Odds are provided for informational purposes. Please gamble responsibly.
AI Analysis & Predictions
Get comprehensive AI-powered analysis for this match with our advanced prediction models. Our AI considers team form, head-to-head records, player statistics, and real-time data to provide accurate insights.
- Real-time match predictions
- In-depth statistical analysis
- Live odds monitoring
- Expert betting insights