Radnik Surdulica vs IMT Novi Beograd

<div> <h2>Radnik Surdulica vs IMT Novi Beograd: Data-Driven Preview and Betting Outlook</h2> <p>Radnik Surdulica host IMT Novi Beograd at Stadion Surdulica in Super Liga Round 10 on September 26, 2025. With both teams hovering in the lower half of the table, this is a true six-pointer for confidence and survival prospects. Early-autumn conditions in Surdulica should be mild with a chance of light rain, potentially slickening the surface and amplifying second-half chaos.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Radnik arrive on a small upswing after a 3-1 away win at Napredak, snapping a poor run. Their last-eight metrics show improvements in points per game (+12.8%) and goals for (+13%). IMT, meanwhile, squeezed a 1-0 home win over Radnički Niš to arrest their slide but remain fragile on the road with three straight away defeats. Last season’s narrative and recent sentiment suggest both clubs are in a relegation skirmish, with IMT slightly more stable and reportedly unbeaten in their last three H2H vs Radnik.</p> <h3>Tactical Themes</h3> <p>Expect Radnik to lean on a compact block that has been effective in first halves at home: they’ve yet to concede before the break in Surdulica this season. The flip side is stark—every goal they’ve shipped at home has arrived in the second half. IMT are a classic transition side away from home, scoring 60% of their goals after half-time and creating late pressure via the wings and quick combinations.</p> <h3>Key Numbers That Matter</h3> <ul> <li>BTTS profile: Radnik home BTTS 75%; IMT away BTTS 80%.</li> <li>Overs profile: Radnik home over 2.5 at 75%; IMT away over 2.5 at 60%.</li> <li>Goal timing: Radnik have conceded 100% of their home goals after HT; IMT score 60% after HT.</li> <li>Away fragility: IMT concede 2.40 goals per away match; opponent scored first in 80% of their away games.</li> </ul> <h3>Players to Watch</h3> <p>Radnik’s spark is Douglas Owusu (3 goals), just off a brace at Napredak, and Vukašin Bogdanović (3G, 2A) who provides physicality and fouls won. Midfield legs from Stevanović and Pejović help set the pressing triggers that create early chances at home. For IMT, teenager Vasilije Novićic (3 goals) is a key goal source—with penalties in his locker—while Miloš Jović (2 goals) and Ugo Bonnet are lively outlets on the break. At the back, Batisse and Glišić will be busy against Owusu’s direct running.</p> <h3>Match Flow Projection</h3> <p>Radnik’s early pressure should generate first-half looks; their average first goal at home arrives around the half-hour mark, dovetailing with IMT’s tendency to concede the first away. Expect the game state to flip in the second half: IMT’s substitutions and transition threat often grow, and Radnik’s defensive metrics plummet after the break. This pattern strongly supports both teams scoring and a high-probability of late goals.</p> <h3>Betting Outlook and Value</h3> <p>The clearest angle is Both Teams To Score (Yes) at 1.66, with venue-specific BTTS rates well above league average. Overs also profile well: Over 2.5 at 1.78 aligns with both teams’ venue splits. The best price edge may be Second Half Over 1.5 at 2.04, given Radnik’s 100% second-half concession rate at home and IMT’s 60% second-half scoring share. For early action, Radnik Over 0.5 First Half Goals at 1.95 leverages their clean first halves and IMT’s early-away concessions.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>Goals at both ends remain the primary expectation, with a first-half Radnik goal and a livelier second half highly probable. A 1-1 or 2-1 either way fits the data, with IMT’s away defense the main worry for their backers. Given the odds, BTTS and second-half goals offer the strongest value.</p> </div>