Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr
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<html> <head><title>Al-Ittihad vs Al-Nassr – Match Preview, Odds & Data</title></head> <body> <h2>Al-Ittihad vs Al-Nassr: Early Title Signal in Jeddah</h2> <p>Two perfect starters collide at Alinma Stadium as league leaders Al-Nassr visit second-placed Al-Ittihad. It’s an early-season barometer with real title implications, and the markets reflect the gap in current sharpness: Al-Nassr are odds-on away favorites around 1.80, with the hosts priced near 3.55 and the draw at 4.20.</p> <h3>Form and Flow: Why Al-Nassr Are Favored</h3> <p>Al-Nassr’s start has been emphatic: three wins from three, 12 scored and just 1 conceded. They’ve overwhelmed opponents in waves, winning 5-0 away at Al Taawon before dispatching Al Kholood (2-0) and Al Riyadh (5-1). Their control metrics stand out—time leading 76% overall and 92% in the only away match—paired with a flawless 100% lead-defending rate. The goal-timing profile is telling too: 67% of their goals arrive after halftime, underpinning a powerful second-half surge.</p> <p>Al-Ittihad are also perfect in the league with 10 scored and 4 conceded, but their best attacking work came with Karim Benzema on the pitch. The latest team news indicates Benzema is out for this clash, a substantial hit to the hosts’ finishing quality and attacking gravity. Steven Bergwijn’s form (3 in 3) is a positive, and the midfield platform of Fabinho–Kanté–Aouar can still trade territory with anyone. Yet the data shows Al-Ittihad’s home leadDefendingRate sits at 50%; they’ve coughed up momentum more often than title rivals do.</p> <h3>Tactical Matchup: Ittihad’s Fast Starts vs Nassr’s Late Waves</h3> <p>This confrontation likely pivots on phases. Al-Ittihad’s one home league outing exploded to 4-2, delivering 3 first-half goals for the hosts. Conversely, Al-Nassr lean into attrition: their 2nd-half returns are elite, and they’ve scored in both halves in all three matches to date. Expect Al-Ittihad to push early—with Bergwijn and Diaby driving transitions—while Al-Nassr’s multi-pronged firepower (Cristiano Ronaldo, João Félix, Kingsley Coman, Sadio Mané) grinds the game their way after the interval.</p> <h3>Key Individuals and Selection Notes</h3> <ul> <li>Al-Ittihad: Benzema’s absence shifts the frontline. A centre-forward replacement or a false-nine approach would likely lean more on Bergwijn and Diaby. Kante’s late-running threat remains a lever from midfield.</li> <li>Al-Nassr: Ronaldo (3 league goals) and Félix (brace of braces recently) headline, with Coman also on the sheet. Brozović anchors control in midfield, while Simakan and Iñigo Martínez stabilize the back line. With Nawaf Alaqidi out, the visitors may look to Bento—steady in friendlies—to marshal the box.</li> </ul> <h3>Where the Numbers Point</h3> <p>Total goals metrics are lofty on both sides (Ittihad 4.67, Nassr 4.33 per game). Still, the more actionable angles are about halves and team totals rather than a blanket overs approach. Al-Nassr have scored in both halves in every league game so far; Ittihad conceded in both halves in their lone home league match. The second half profiles as the decisive period, with the visitors’ depth and conditioning edge likely telling in Jeddah’s warm, humid conditions.</p> <h3>Betting Angles and Value</h3> <ul> <li>Away to score in both halves (2.04) has data-rich backing: 3/3 for Al-Nassr, second-half dominance, and a Benzema-less Ittihad less able to pin them back through long spells.</li> <li>Second-half winner Al-Nassr (2.05) aligns with their 67% post-HT scoring share and superiority in lead management.</li> <li>Al-Nassr over 1.5 team goals (1.45): they’ve hit 2+ in every match, with a 5-goal away salvo already banked.</li> <li>Highest scoring half—second (1.85): structural fit with Al-Nassr’s late surges and both sides’ 76-90’ goal presence.</li> <li>Longshot: Exact score 1-3 (10.00), reflecting Al-Nassr’s attack depth vs an Ittihad missing its elite finisher.</li> </ul> <h3>The Verdict</h3> <p>Even with early-season caveats, Al-Nassr’s composite profile—volume scoring, elite game control, and second-half punch—edges a marquee contest. At prices, backing their second-half superiority and multi-goal output captures both the statistics and the matchup narrative. If Al-Ittihad start fast, brace for a compelling chase; either way, the visitors’ late-game quality should surface.</p> </body> </html>
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