Al Jubail vs Al-Raed
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<html> <head> <title>Al Jubail vs Al-Raed — Division 1 Betting Preview</title> <meta name="description" content="Al Jubail host Al-Raed at Prince Nayef bin Abdul Aziz Sports City, with form and numbers favoring the visitors. Odds, form and tactical insights inside."> </head> <body> <h1>Al Jubail vs Al-Raed: Form gulf points to a purposeful away win</h1> <h2>Match Details</h2> <p>Date: 4 November 2025 — Kick-off: 14:35 UTC (17:35 local)</p> <p>Venue: Prince Nayef bin Abdul Aziz Sports City Stadium</p> <h2>Context and Stakes</h2> <p>Two sides on very different trajectories meet under the lights in Qatif. Al Jubail’s season has opened with a worrying slide: one point from five, no wins, and a goal difference of -8. Al-Raed arrive with confidence after banking 11 points from six, sitting seventh and trending toward the promotion mix. Home pressure is intense; the visitors see opportunity.</p> <h2>Recent Form and Trends</h2> <p>Al Jubail’s numbers are stark: 0.20 points per game and only 0.60 goals scored per match. At home, the figures improve marginally (0.33 PPG), but the concession rate rises to 2.33 per game. Their three home scorelines (1-3, 0-0, 1-4) show a defense buckling against pace and set-piece pressure.</p> <p>Al-Raed’s consistency shows in their averages: 1.83 PPG and 2.00 goals per game. Away form has a volatile edge (4-4, 1-0, 0-1), but their travel ceiling is high, and the floor is acceptable against stronger opposition than Jubail. With the league’s home advantage relatively subdued this season, raiding parties have done well.</p> <h2>Team News and Setups</h2> <p>Al Jubail are expected to lean on goalkeeper André Luiz Moreira and captain Omar Gonzalez to settle the back line. The likely back four includes Abdullah Al-Yousef and Mubarak Al-Rajeh with Ayoub Qasmi, suggesting a compact 4-4-2/4-2-3-1 hybrid designed to protect central areas.</p> <p>Al-Raed’s core remains intact and fit, with balance across midfield and attack. The visitors typically mix vertical transitions with structured buildup through the double pivot, allowing wing runners to attack the half-spaces—an area Jubail have struggled to protect between full-back and center-half.</p> <h2>Tactical Battlegrounds</h2> <ul> <li>Set plays and second balls: Jubail’s aerial and box-organization issues have contributed to multi-goal concessions; Raed are well-drilled on restarts.</li> <li>Transitions: Raed’s ability to turn turnovers into quick chances should stretch a Jubail side that loses shape when chasing games.</li> <li>Game state management: If Raed score first, the hosts’ limited chance creation (0.60 GF) forces them to open up—historically a losing scenario.</li> </ul> <h2>Odds Landscape and Value</h2> <p>Books make Al-Raed clear favorites at 1.67 to win. That implies roughly a 60% chance, but the blend of form, league context, and matchup suggests low-to-mid 60s—mild value on the away side. The 2.00 on “Al-Raed & Over 1.5” is attractive, given 80% of Jubail matches clear over 1.5 and Raed’s superior chance creation. Al-Raed Over 1.5 Team Goals at 1.75 leans on Jubail’s 2.33 GA at home and their tendency to concede in clusters.</p> <p>The total is finely poised. Over 2.5 at 1.85 is supported by 67% home overs for Jubail, though Raed’s away distribution is spiky. Still, the defensive mismatch nudges toward a 0-2 or 1-2 type of scoreline more often than not.</p> <h2>Prediction</h2> <p>Al Jubail will try to absorb and frustrate, but Al-Raed’s structural advantages and superior form should tell. The safest angle is the away win, with the most appealing prices on Raed-linked goal lines.</p> <p><strong>The Oracle’s pick:</strong> Al-Raed to win. Correct-score lean: 0-2.</p> <h2>What to Watch</h2> <ul> <li>Early defensive duels between Gonzalez’s line and Raed’s wide runners.</li> <li>Jubail’s reaction if trailing—space will open for Raed’s counters.</li> <li>Set-piece delivery for Raed; potential decisive moments.</li> </ul> </body> </html>
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