ADT vs Alianza Atletico
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<html> <head> <title>ADT vs Alianza Atlético: Data-Led Betting Preview</title> </head> <body> <h2>ADT Tarma vs Alianza Atlético – Form, Edges and Odds</h2> <p>Estadio Municipal Unión de Tarma hosts a classic venue-split clash: a strong home side in ADT (2.00 PPG at home) against one of the league’s least potent travelers, Alianza Atlético (0.50 PPG away, 0.25 goals scored per away game). The market leans toward ADT at 1.53, but there are smarter ways to extract value based on how these teams actually play.</p> <h3>What the Numbers Say</h3> <p>Nothing jumps out more than Alianza Atlético’s offensive drought. They have failed to score in 75% of away matches, average just 0.25 goals on the road, and have produced <em>zero</em> Over 2.5 results in eight Clausura outings (total goals: 1.00 per match). This pairs perfectly with ADT’s home splits: 80% of the time ADT score first at home and they defend leads at a 75% clip.</p> <p>ADT’s home profile shows control without chaos: 1.40 goals for and 1.20 against per game. Two of their five home results have been 1-0 wins (40%), which dovetails with Alianza’s low-event away pattern and supports narrow ADT victory angles like Win to Nil or 1-0 correct score.</p> <h3>Timing and Match Flow</h3> <p>ADT’s goal timing is heavily second-half driven. Overall, 88% of their goals come after the break, and at home they surge between 61–75 minutes. Alianza concede more in the first half away than in the second, but their own late-scoring profile on the road is almost non-existent (0 goals in 76–90). The blend suggests ADT pressure building into the second half and limited threat of a late Alianza equalizer.</p> <h3>Key Matchups and Player Notes</h3> <p>For ADT, it’s about the trio of Johnny Vidales (13 league goals), Víctor Cedrón’s delivery, and Joao Rojas’ dribbling and late-run productivity. The supply line is solid, and chances should come. On the other side, Alianza Atlético lean on Agustín Graneros (9 goals) for end product, but his road support cast is thin. Defensively, Alianza’s pairing of Villegas and Benincasa helps keep scores respectable, which is why backing overs is risky despite ADT’s recent 3-1 over Cajamarca.</p> <h3>Angles the Market Underprices</h3> <p>The books have understandably pushed ADT short on the moneyline, but the sharper prices are attached to “BTTS No” and clean-sheet derivatives. With Alianza’s 75% away FTS rate and only 12% BTTS overall, 1.73 on BTTS No is a standout. Home clean sheet at 2.10 and Win to Nil around 2.62 offer more aggressive leverage on the same story.</p> <p>If you’re building a same-game parlay or looking for longshots, 1-0 correct score at 6.50 is attractive given ADT’s two 1-0s in five home matches and Alianza’s sterile away attack. Another interesting secondary market is “Highest Scoring Half – 2nd Half” at 2.10. ADT’s late goal trend could tilt totals after halftime, especially if the first half follows the data-led expectation of a low-event stalemate (first-half draw priced 2.30).</p> <h3>Context and Sentiment</h3> <p>Team news points to stability in both lineups; no new significant injuries are reported. ADT’s local sentiment mixes frustration over defensive lapses with optimism about their attacking core. Alianza Atlético’s recent result uptick has improved morale, but it hasn’t fixed their chronic away goal shortage. With league positions mid-table and points precious at this stage, expect ADT to lean on the home edge and the discipline that’s defined their Tarma performances.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>ADT should control territory and tempo, with the most probable scripts being a 1-0 or 2-0 home win. The best blend of price and probability: BTTS No (1.73), ADT to win (1.53), Home Clean Sheet (2.10), and a first-half draw (2.30) for those who like to play the timing pattern. For bigger prices, 1-0 ADT at 6.50 is the scoreline that most squarely fits both teams’ 2025 identity.</p> </body> </html>
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