Ull/Kisa vs Stjørdals-Blink

<div> <h2>Ull/Kisa vs Stjørdals-Blink: Data-Driven Preview, Picks and Value</h2> <p>Second meets eighth in Jessheim as Ull/Kisa aim to sustain a promotion push against a Stjørdals-Blink side showing incremental improvement but still struggling for consistency away from home. With fair conditions forecast, the stage is set for a high-tempo, open match that suits the hosts’ attacking strengths.</p> <h3>Form and Motivation</h3> <p>Ull/Kisa come in buoyed by a professional 0-2 win at Asker following a bruising 1-5 home defeat to leaders Strømmen. Over the last eight rounds they’ve banked 16 points, in line with their strong season average. Stjørdals-Blink, meanwhile, have improved relative to their season baseline in the last eight (1.63 PPG vs 1.39 overall) but arrive off back-to-back defeats — 5-3 at Grorud and a narrow 0-1 to Strømmen. With Ull/Kisa sitting 2nd and a promotion race simmering, motivation and crowd energy should be on the home side.</p> <h3>Numbers That Matter</h3> <p>The defining pattern is Ull/Kisa’s home game profile: goal-laden and chaotic. Their home matches average 4.67 total goals, with 100% Over 2.5 and 100% BTTS across nine fixtures. They score early (average first goal minute at home: 13) and concede early (17), so first halves have been particularly lively — 23 first-half goals in nine home games (2.56 per match). Stjørdals-Blink’s away matches are less extreme but still open enough (3.25 total goals on average), with 50% BTTS and 62% Over 2.5.</p> <p>Crucially, the timing split favors Ull in the late stages. SB’s heaviest concession window is 76–90 minutes (9 goals conceded overall), while Ull/Kisa’s production spikes late (9 of their goals in the final quarter-hour; 5 of those at home). In game-state terms, Ull’s resilience stands out: 1.43 PPG when conceding first versus SB’s 0.00 — and SB’s away equalizing rate is 0%. If the hosts land the first blow, the visitors rarely find a way back on their travels.</p> <h3>Key Players and Tactical Edges</h3> <p>Ull/Kisa share goals across multiple in-form contributors: Jakob Römo Skille has been a consistent threat (brace vs Rana, goals in other wins), with Herman Øen Paulsrud supplying clutch finishes (late deciders), while Martin Bergum, Albert Aleksanjan, and C. Kjensteberg add depth and variety. For SB, Magnus Tomren Solheim’s recent scoring uptick, plus Robert Hermanstad and Andreas Fossli, carry their main threat. Expect Ull/Kisa to pin SB back with territory and volume, while SB look to fast transitions and set plays.</p> <h3>Markets and Value</h3> <p>Market prices align with a home edge but may still undervalue two angles:</p> <ul> <li>Ull/Kisa Team Over 1.5 at 1.62 looks strong. They’ve scored 2+ in roughly 78% of home games, versus SB’s away GA of 1.75.</li> <li>Over 3.5 Goals at 2.00 is fair value when Ull’s home Over 3.5 hits 78% and the overall game state skews open.</li> </ul> <p>BTTS Yes at 1.44 is supported by Ull’s perfect BTTS home record, while Second Half Winner – Ull at 2.20 leans into SB’s late fade and Ull’s late thrust. For a longer shot, the 3-2 correct score at 19.00 mirrors Ull’s repeating home scoreline pattern and their BTTS-heavy profile.</p> <h3>The Verdict</h3> <p>Expect a match defined by tempo and chances. Ull/Kisa’s late-game superiority and broader attacking cast give them the higher ceiling and a clear path to multiple goals. Stjørdals-Blink can contribute to the scoreline, but their inability to recover when conceding first, especially away, is a critical weakness. The recommended staking plan centers on Ull team goals and overs, with BTTS-leaning combinations for additive value.</p> <h3>Best Bets</h3> <ul> <li>Ull/Kisa Over 1.5 Team Goals (1.62)</li> <li>Over 3.5 Goals (2.00)</li> <li>BTTS – Yes (1.44)</li> <li>Second Half Winner – Ull/Kisa (2.20)</li> <li>Correct Score 3-2 (19.00) – small stake</li> </ul> <p>With promotion momentum, a rampant home scoring profile, and opponents who fade late, Ull/Kisa should have enough to tilt a high-scoring encounter in their favor.</p> </div>