Bangor vs Coleraine FC
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<html> <head> <title>Bangor vs Coleraine – Premiership Preview & Betting Analysis</title> <meta name="description" content="In-depth statistical preview, betting value picks, and form analysis for Bangor vs Coleraine, October 4, 2025."> </head> <body> <h2>Bangor vs Coleraine: Form, Numbers, and Value Picks</h2> <p>Clandeboye Park hosts a classic top-v-bottom-half clash as high-flying Coleraine travel to Bangor on October 4. It’s still early in the Premiership campaign, but the table and the metrics both point in the same direction: Coleraine’s well-oiled attack and compact defense against a Bangor side searching for stability.</p> <h3>Context and Stakes</h3> <p>Coleraine sit third with 19 points from eight matches, tracking with their European ambitions. Bangor are ninth on nine points, with defensive reliability still elusive. Both sides have a full week of rest, so fatigue shouldn’t skew this one.</p> <h3>What the Numbers Say</h3> <p>Coleraine’s away profile is elite: 2.50 goals scored per game, 0.50 conceded, 2.50 points per game, and critically, they have not trailed away (time trailing: 0%). They lead early and protect it well (away lead-defending rate 75%). Bangor at home concede two goals per game, own a 0% clean sheet rate, and have allowed goals across all time segments—three concessions in the 76–90 window alone.</p> <p>Totals lean high. Bangor’s home matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 80%, and Coleraine’s away in 75%. The combination screams goals—particularly if Coleraine get ahead and Bangor are forced to chase.</p> <h3>Patterns within the 90</h3> <p>Coleraine are dangerous before the break and late. They’ve scored six in the 31–45 segment and four in 76–90 overall; that dovetails ominously with Bangor’s late concessions. This is an excellent game for second-half goal angles, especially if the first 30 minutes are cagey.</p> <h3>Key Players and Matchups</h3> <p>Coleraine’s attack is balanced and in rhythm: Joel Cooper has been a recurring match-winner, with Matthew Shevlin, William Patching and Declan McManus providing end product. Bangor’s threat largely stems from direct runners and set pieces through the likes of Ben Arthurs and Ben Cushnie, but they’ve struggled to sustain pressure versus the league’s top defenses.</p> <h3>Tactical Expectations</h3> <p>Expect Coleraine to control territory and tempo, using width to draw Bangor’s back line across and create cutback lanes. Bangor are likely to play more vertically, aiming to exploit transitions. If Bangor do strike first—remember, they can start quickly—their 50% lead-defending rate is a concern against a Coleraine side whose equalizing rate and in-game control are above league norms.</p> <h3>Betting Value Snapshot</h3> <ul> <li><strong>Coleraine & Over 2.5 (1.83)</strong> – Backed by high over rates (Bangor home 80%, Coleraine away 75%) and stark quality differential.</li> <li><strong>Coleraine to score in both halves (2.00)</strong> – Landed in 3 of 4 away games; Bangor concede across periods with late slippage.</li> <li><strong>HT/FT Coleraine/Coleraine (1.80)</strong> – The away side led at half in 75% of their trips; Bangor’s first-half data are vulnerable against top teams.</li> <li><strong>Exact Score 0–2 (6.50)</strong> – Pricey but plausible: Coleraine’s away defense is tight, and Bangor have blanked 40% at home.</li> </ul> <h3>Red Flags and Risk Management</h3> <p>It’s still early in the season, and a few Coleraine metrics (like PPG when conceding first) are inflated by sample size. Bangor do score early at times, and an early home goal would stress HT/FT and win-to-nil positions. If Bangor start bright, in-play upgrades to goal-heavy lines (Over 2.5 or 2H Over 1.5) remain attractive.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Coleraine’s blend of away control and end-product should tell. Bangor will have moments, but the gap in defensive stability is significant. Expect Coleraine to manage the game and create the better chances.</p> <p><strong>Projected result:</strong> Bangor 0–2 Coleraine</p> </body> </html>
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