Banga vs Suduva Marijampole
Match Information
Match Preview
<html> <head><title>Banga vs Suduva Marijampole – Data-Led Match Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Banga vs Suduva Marijampole: Tight margins point to Suduva and unders</h2> <p>Suduva arrive in Gargždai as the higher-ranked side (3rd) with a strong season-long profile, while Banga sit 8th and have struggled for goals at home. Despite Suduva’s recent dip in form compared to their seasonal baseline, the metrics and sentiment combine to tilt this matchup toward a low-scoring Suduva result.</p> <h3>Form and momentum</h3> <p>Over the last eight league matches, Banga have quietly improved: +9.6% points per game, goals conceded down from 1.04 to 0.75 per game. Their 5–0 at Dainava and clean sheets at home against Siauliai and Riteriai show defensive tightening. Suduva, however, have trended the other way in the same span (PPG -33.5%, GA +38%), yet they remain reliable overall, drawing 1–1 with Panevezys and edging Hegelmann 2–1 in recent weeks.</p> <h3>Venue dynamics</h3> <p>Banga’s home matches skew low event: just 1.86 total goals on average with over 2.5 landing only 21%. They’ve failed to score in 43% of home games. Suduva’s away profile is more open (2.69 total goals, over 2.5 hits 54%), but crucially they hold a 1.46 away PPG versus Banga’s 1.21 at home. The head-to-head narrative supports the visitors too—Suduva won 2–1 in August and dominate the series historically.</p> <h3>Tactical battle and key players</h3> <p>Suduva’s build-up security and midfield control are notable: Steve Lawson (7.38 rating) and Kota Sakurai (7.32) anchor possession, while the back line of Henry Uzochukwu (7.39) and Žygimantas Baltrūnas (7.30) shield a high-performing goalkeeper rotation led by Ignas Plūkas (7.55). Frankline Tangiri is Suduva’s primary goal threat (6 league goals), often decisive in the final half-hour.</p> <p>For Banga, the attacking burden is shared modestly—Aivars Emsis leads with three league goals, while Ignas Venckus and wide players like Sherwin Seedorf provide pace without consistent end product. The defensive axis of Hugo Figueiredo and Deividas Malžinskas has underpinned Banga’s improved GA numbers, but chance creation remains limited.</p> <h3>Game state math: why Suduva edge matters</h3> <p>If Suduva break the ice, the numbers tilt strongly towards an away result: they average 2.69 points when scoring first, whereas Banga at home take just 0.14 PPG when conceding first. Banga’s equalizing rate at home is only 12%. Conversely, Suduva’s equalizing rate sits at 58% overall (50% away), meaning they can recover if they fall behind—useful insurance for away bettors.</p> <h3>Timing patterns and second-half angles</h3> <p>Banga concede 69% of their goals after halftime, including nine between 76–90 minutes. Suduva are productive late (eight goals in that same 76–90 window). That nexus creates an attractive angle on Suduva to win the second half and for the second half to be the higher-scoring period, dovetailing with the visitors’ bench impact.</p> <h3>Totals and BTTS outlook</h3> <p>Given Banga’s home scoring droughts (43% FTS) and low BTTS rate (29% at home), BTTS No is a logical play. While Suduva’s away matches can open up, Banga’s recent defensive form, the venue’s low-event tendencies, and Suduva’s willingness to manage leads suggest the more probable scripts are 0–1 or 0–2, bringing Under 2.5 into play alongside win-to-nil and Result/Total combos.</p> <h3>Intangibles and discipline</h3> <p>Sentiment and polling favor Suduva. One caution: Suduva have collected the most red cards in the league (3). Nonetheless, no major injury news is reported, and conditions in Gargždai should be neutral. With European positioning to defend, Suduva’s motivation is higher than Banga’s, whose season trajectory has stalled in mid-table.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>Expect a measured Suduva performance geared around control and late pressure. The data leans to a low-scoring away win; the safest angles are BTTS No and Under 2.5, with value on Suduva to take the second half and win to nil.</p> </body> </html>
Betting Odds
Odds are currently unavailable.
Odds are provided for informational purposes. Please gamble responsibly.
AI Analysis & Predictions
Get comprehensive AI-powered analysis for this match with our advanced prediction models. Our AI considers team form, head-to-head records, player statistics, and real-time data to provide accurate insights.
- Real-time match predictions
- In-depth statistical analysis
- Live odds monitoring
- Expert betting insights