Foggia vs Benevento
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<html> <head><title>Foggia vs Benevento: Tactical Unders Loom in Girone C</title></head> <body> <h2>Foggia vs Benevento: Tactical Unders Loom in Girone C</h2> <p>Stadio Pino Zaccheria hosts a classic Serie C Group C chess match as Foggia welcome promotion-chasing Benevento. The matchup pits one of the division’s most restrained home attacks against a side that starts quickly and manages game states expertly, especially when in front.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Foggia arrive under pressure. They’ve failed to score in their last two league games and sit in the bottom reaches of the table after 12 matches. Their overall return of 0.58 goals per game highlights the lack of cutting edge, while at home they average just 0.6. The crowd at Zaccheria has seen tight, attritional contests: only 20% of their home fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals.</p> <p>Benevento, meanwhile, have been among the early pacesetters in Girone C and feature prominently in the form tables. They’re defensively stout (0.67 goals conceded per game; 42% clean sheets overall), with a knack for striking early—on average, they record their first goal around the 19th minute. The slight caveat is their away profile: a respectable but not dominant 1.17 points per game and 1.17 goals scored, with 50% of away trips resulting in a blank. Still, their structure and game management make them difficult to chase once ahead.</p> <h3>Tactical Matchup</h3> <p>Expect Benevento to control the early phases with compact spacing and measured pressure. Their high lead-defending rate (78%) means that if they do strike first, they tend to smother the game. Foggia’s issues compound under that scenario: when conceding first, they’re averaging just 0.14 points per game and their equalizing rate is a low 25%—well below the league benchmark.</p> <p>Where are the goals likely to come? Benevento’s overall pattern favors first-half activity, but away from home their halves split more evenly, with a tendency to concede later (61–75 minutes) compared to early. Foggia, on the other hand, concede heavily in the final quarter-hour (five goals allowed 76–90 overall). This suggests a low-scoring match where the visitors have the better chances to nick it either before the break or via late control and set-piece pressure.</p> <h3>Key Numbers That Matter</h3> <ul> <li>Foggia home: 0.6 goals scored, over 2.5 in just 20% of matches.</li> <li>Benevento overall: 0.67 goals conceded per game; 42% clean sheets.</li> <li>Both teams’ BTTS rate sits at 33%—unders and “No” on BTTS are supported by trend.</li> <li>Benevento average minute of first goal: 19; Foggia’s ppg when conceding first: 0.14.</li> </ul> <h3>Scoreline Picture</h3> <p>This fixture projects toward narrow margins. Given Foggia’s home defensive baseline (only once conceding more than one goal at home so far), a 0-1 away win is a particularly live outcome. Benevento’s away conservatism and Foggia’s low offensive output also put a premium on early set-pieces and transitional moments as the most plausible sources of a decisive goal.</p> <h3>Weather and Conditions</h3> <p>Partly cloudy, mild late-autumn weather (16–18°C) provides a neutral backdrop—no major wind or rain forecast to distort game plans or set-piece execution.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>Everything points to a tight contest that Benevento are better equipped to edge. The totals markets look the most mispriced given Foggia’s extreme home unders trend and Benevento’s modest away output. The shrewd angles revolve around Unders and Benevento to win low.</p> <h4>Recommended Angles</h4> <ul> <li>Under 2.5 Goals (strongest value)</li> <li>Benevento & Under 2.5 (0-1 or 0-2 lanes)</li> <li>Benevento Under 1.5 Team Goals (road conservatism, Foggia home GA ≈1.2)</li> <li>HT 0-0 (Serie C pattern of cagey starts; 40–50% trend indicators)</li> </ul> <p>With Foggia struggling to create and Benevento adept at protecting slim advantages, back a low-scoring away grind where the first goal—if it comes—largely dictates the final outcome.</p> </body> </html>
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