SS Monopoli vs Cavese
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<html> <head><title>Monopoli vs Cavese – Serie C Girone C Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Form, Context and Motivation</h2> <p>Monopoli welcome Cavese in a clash that, on paper, tilts heavily toward the hosts. Six matches into the new campaign, Monopoli have amassed 11 points and sit firmly in the early promotion conversation, while Cavese languish at the bottom with two points. Local sentiment reinforces the statistical picture: Monopoli are seen as stable and upwardly mobile after a settled offseason, whereas Cavese continue to search for cohesion following squad turnover.</p> <h3>Recent Performances</h3> <p>Monopoli’s last four include a heavy defeat to Catania (4–0) but a strong reaction: 2–0 vs Audace Cerignola, an 85’ winner at Latina, and a 1–1 against Altamura. That profile matches their identity: patient, defensively disciplined, and increasingly decisive late in matches. Cavese, by contrast, have stalled: a 0–0 at Sorrento opened the season, but they have since failed to score in four of six. Their last two ended in defeat without scoring (0–3 at Casarano and 0–2 at home to Latina).</p> <h3>Tactical Themes</h3> <p>Monopoli’s forward structure leans on movement and late-arriving threats. Mattia Tirelli, who has three goals in his last four, typifies that knack for timing and attacking the half-spaces, with Maguette Fall offering complementary runs. Expect Monopoli to compress the midfield, circulate patiently, and apply pressure after half-time. That approach aligns cruelly with Cavese’s biggest weakness: 80% of their goals conceded have arrived in the second half, with an alarming five goals shipped in the 76–90’ window alone.</p> <h3>Key Matchups</h3> <ul> <li>Monopoli second-half press vs Cavese late-game fragility: Monopoli score 62% after the break; Cavese concede 80% after HT.</li> <li>Game state resilience: If Monopoli score first, they average 2.33 points; Cavese earn 0.00 points when conceding first.</li> <li>Monopoli’s defensive baseline against Cavese’s attack: Cavese have failed to score in 67% of matches and average just 0.33 goals away.</li> </ul> <h3>Venue and Game-State Data</h3> <p>At home, Monopoli are unbeaten (W1 D2), conceding 1.0 per game and keeping a third of their matches as clean sheets. Cavese away are winless with just 0.33 goals scored per game. One nuance: Monopoli’s home lead-defending rate is a modest 33%, a reminder not to overstate margin of victory. Even so, Cavese’s equalizing rate is just 33% away and 20% overall, indicating limited comeback capability.</p> <h3>Injuries and Selection</h3> <p>As of the last update, neither side reported major injury doubts and both are expected to field strong XIs. Look for Tirelli and Fall to feature for Monopoli; Cavese will lean on experienced forwards to break a scoring drought. Final lineups typically arrive an hour before kick-off; checking official channels or match trackers is advisable.</p> <h3>Odds and Betting Outlook</h3> <p>Markets are likely to price Monopoli as clear favorites. The best value appears on pragmatic angles: Monopoli to Win, Under 3.5 Goals, and Cavese Team Total Under 0.5. For those chasing price, Monopoli to Win to Nil and a small stake on Mattia Tirelli anytime scorer are logical extensions of the statistical edge—particularly given Cavese’s 67% failure-to-score rate and Monopoli’s late-game scoring pattern.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Monopoli 1–0 or 2–0. Expect a patient home performance, control after half-time, and limited resistance from a Cavese side still seeking fluency in the final third.</p> </body> </html>
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