Vis Pesaro vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Match Information
Match Preview
<html> <head> <title>Vis Pesaro vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937: Defensive duel on the Adriatic</title> <meta name="description" content="Serie C Girone B preview: Vis Pesaro host Guidonia Montecelio 1937 with both sides showcasing elite defensive numbers. Odds, form, and tactical angles inside." /> </head> <body> <h1>Vis Pesaro vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937: Defensive duel on the Adriatic</h1> <h2>Match context</h2> <p>Stadio Tonino Benelli hosts a quietly pivotal Girone B fixture as Vis Pesaro welcome Guidonia Montecelio 1937. Both arrive in assured shape: Vis are unbeaten in seven and have not lost at home, while Guidonia have strung together five consecutive clean sheets and two straight wins. The table is tightening, and with both teams thriving on defensive control, margins look razor-thin.</p> <h2>Form and venue dynamics</h2> <p>Vis Pesaro’s home numbers are stark: six league matches, one goal conceded, and a clean-sheet rate of 83%. The Benelli has become a low-tempo, low-variance venue—three 0-0s in six and just 1.00 total goals per game on average. Guidonia’s away profile is similarly restrictive: 0.43 goals conceded per game, 71% clean sheets, and a 1.29 total goals-per-game average on their travels.</p> <p>In the last eight, Guidonia have improved their points per game from 1.77 to 2.00 with a remarkable defensive trend—just 0.38 goals conceded per game in that span. Vis Pesaro are also trending positively, unbeaten across seven with five draws in their last eight, pointing to game-state management and a preference for control over risk.</p> <h2>Goal timing: the second-half bias</h2> <p>The most telling pattern is in goal timing. Guidonia score a massive 82% of their goals after the break and average scoring their first around the 64th minute away. They’ve posted an 86% rate of 0-0 at half-time on the road. Vis Pesaro mirror the slow-burn narrative: 50% of their home matches are 0-0 at the interval, and they’ve conceded only once at home all season.</p> <p>Expect a measured first half, with both managers prioritizing shape. If the deadlock breaks, the second half is far likelier to provide it.</p> <h2>Tactics and key players</h2> <p>Vis Pesaro are built on compact spacing and a tight back line, with a premium on early structure—evidenced by conceding first just 0% of the time at home this season. Transition risk is kept low, pushing opponents wide and into low-quality deliveries. Davide Pio Stabile has chipped in timely goals, but the hosts’ chance creation can be sporadic against settled defenses.</p> <p>Guidonia’s identity underlines risk control and game-state mastery: when they go ahead, they defend the lead at an 80% rate away from home. David Vitturini and the rearguard have been consistently well-drilled, while Gabriele Bernardotto offers the penalty-box presence to punish late openings. However, Guidonia’s equalising rate is 0%—when they concede first, they rarely come back—so the first goal, if any, looms large.</p> <h2>Market angles and odds</h2> <p>With both sides’ total-goal averages well below the league mean (Vis 1.62; Guidonia 1.38 vs Girone B’s 2.25), unders are rightly favored. The best value sits on the Asian goal line: Under 2 at 1.88 gives push protection on a 1-1 or 2-0 result and pays in the many 0-0/1-0/0-1 scenarios. First-half Under 0.5 at 2.38 is also attractively priced, given the prevalent half-time stalemates.</p> <p>Both Teams to Score: No at 1.67 aligns with the clean-sheet prowess on both sides (Vis home BTTS Yes 17%; Guidonia away 14%). If you’re seeking a longer price, the 0-0 correct score at 6.50 is well within the plausible band given Vis’s three goalless home draws and Guidonia’s recent run of shutouts.</p> <h2>Forecast</h2> <p>Expect a tight, tactical contest dominated by defensive organization. Chances should be at a premium before half-time, with any decisive moments more likely late. The draw is live, but the stronger positions are anchored in unders and first-half suppression.</p> <h3>Predicted range</h3> <p>0-0, 1-0 either way, or 1-1 as the upper boundary.</p> </body> </html>
Betting Odds
Odds are currently unavailable.
Odds are provided for informational purposes. Please gamble responsibly.
AI Analysis & Predictions
Get comprehensive AI-powered analysis for this match with our advanced prediction models. Our AI considers team form, head-to-head records, player statistics, and real-time data to provide accurate insights.
- Real-time match predictions
- In-depth statistical analysis
- Live odds monitoring
- Expert betting insights