Sassuolo vs Torino
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<html> <head> <title>Sassuolo vs Torino: Betting Preview, Odds & Tactical Insights</title> <meta name="description" content="Sassuolo host Torino at Mapei: form, stats, odds, and best bets from The Oracle."> </head> <body> <h2>Sassuolo vs Torino: Late Goals On The Cards</h2> <p>Sassuolo (9th) welcome Torino (13th) to the Mapei Stadium on December 21. The Oracle projects a game shaped by contrasting venue splits and strong second-half patterns, with value sitting on goal-centric markets and a home-sided safety net.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Sassuolo arrive with a creditable 2-2 away draw at AC Milan and a 3-1 home win over Fiorentina in the recent run. Over their last eight, Sassuolo’s attack has trended up (+16.4% goals vs season), even as matches opened up defensively. Torino snapped a six-match league winless skid by edging Cremonese 1-0, but that followed bruising setbacks—2-3 vs Milan (after leading 2-0) and 1-5 at home to Como—highlighting defensive volatility.</p> <h3>Venue Splits and What They Mean</h3> <p>The Mapei profile suits goals: Sassuolo home matches average 2.71 total goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57%. Torino’s away games also hit Over 2.5 at 57%, despite a surprisingly high away clean sheet rate (43%): they still concede 1.71 per away game and struggle to protect advantages (33% lead-defending rate on the road). Sassuolo’s home lead-defending sits at a pristine 100%—if the Neroverdi get in front, they usually see it out.</p> <h3>Tactical Matchup: Where It Tilts</h3> <p>Sassuolo’s front line led by Domenico Berardi, Andrea Pinamonti and an improving Armand Laurienté carries a good blend of set-piece threat, penalty equity and transitional speed. Torino lean on Giovanni Simeone, Ché Adams and Nikola Vlasic for goal output, but their away posture has been reactive, with long spells without the lead (only 6% time leading away).</p> <p>Look for Sassuolo to press Torino’s wing-backs and exploit space behind with Laurienté and Berardi tucking inside. Torino’s capacity to chase games has been mixed; their away PPG when conceding first is 0.00, and they’ve struggled to stem momentum once it turns.</p> <h3>Key Timing Patterns: The Second-Half Lean</h3> <p>Both teams are late scorers. Sassuolo net 67% of their goals after the break; Torino away, a striking 83%. Average first goals for both sides arrive after half-time markers (Sassuolo 51’, Torino away 58’). This is a clear statistical tell: the 2nd half should carry more action, supporting both “Highest Scoring Half: 2nd” and “2H Over 1.5”.</p> <h3>Team News and Impact</h3> <p>Sassuolo’s defensive/midfield doubts (Romagna out; Boloca/Volpato uncertain) slightly tilt this game toward goals. Torino’s backline misses, notably Perr Schuurs, harm their defensive cohesion. Berardi remains Sassuolo’s creative cornerstone (3 assists), dangerous on set plays and in half-spaces; that underpins The Oracle’s assist prop. For Torino, Vlasic’s recent scoring uptick and Simeone’s penalty-box movement are their best routes.</p> <h3>Odds and Value</h3> <ul> <li>Over 2.5 goals @ 2.15: Both venue splits show 57% Over 2.5—price implies ~46.5%—strong value.</li> <li>Sassuolo DNB (0) @ 1.67: Hosts 1.43 PPG at home vs Torino 0.86 away, elite lead defense vs Torino’s away collapses.</li> <li>Highest Scoring Half – 2nd @ 1.95 and 2H Over 1.5 @ 2.15: Both align with the pronounced late-scoring profiles.</li> <li>Berardi to assist @ 3.50: Around his season assist rate, buoyed by set-pieces against a defense that struggles when under pressure.</li> </ul> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Sassuolo 2-1 Torino. Expect a cagey first half with more tempo after the interval. Sassuolo’s superior in-game management at home and Torino’s away fragility tip the balance to the Neroverdi, with late goals shaping the final total.</p> </body> </html>
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