Le Puy Foot vs Gobelins

<div> <h2>Le Puy Foot vs Gobelins: Late-Goal Warning at Charles Massot</h2> <p>Le Puy welcome Paris 13 Atletico (Gobelins) in a fixture that pits one of the division’s shakiest home records against the league’s poorest early-season travelers. The data points in unison to a late-swinging encounter: both teams tend to save their scoring for after the interval, and both concede more than the National 1 average.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Le Puy sit 14th with 6 points from 7, Paris 13 are 13th with 7 from 7. The hosts’ home split is concerning (0W, 2D, 2L), but they are coming off a morale-boosting away win at Stade Briochin. Paris 13’s away record is harsher—three losses in three—and they’ve yet to score first on the road. Both clubs have had a full week’s rest and report no major injury disruptions.</p> <h3>Tactical Themes</h3> <p>Under Stéphane Dief, Le Puy have integrated several new faces (notably Brown Irabor and Idris Mohamed). The rebuild is showing green shoots in transition play, but home defensive inconsistency remains. Paris 13, banking on continuity, are compact from the outset but prone to fade late—especially away—where they concede in clusters and rely on second-half rallies led by Yoane Lasme’s direct running and Ryan Fage’s movement between lines.</p> <h3>Where the Game Tilts</h3> <ul> <li>Second-half surge: 100% of Le Puy’s home goals and 100% of Paris 13’s away goals have arrived after half-time. Expect tactical patience early, then stretched phases as legs tire.</li> <li>First goal leverage: Le Puy have never led at home; Paris 13 have never led away at the break. Whoever lands the opening punch may dictate the tempo, but recent evidence suggests equalizers are possible late.</li> <li>Set pieces and penalties: Le Puy’s recent home scoring includes a penalty (Paul Wade), and Paris 13 have conceded multiple times in the 31–45’ and 76–90’ windows—classic set-piece pressure phases.</li> </ul> <h3>Players to Watch</h3> <p>For Le Puy, Salim Akkal’s timing from midfield and Irabor’s pace have provided crucial late goals. Paul Wade’s dead-ball calm is another factor—he’s already converted from the spot and scored in open play. For Paris 13, Lasme is the away-day spark, scoring twice at Dijon; Fage’s box entries offer secondary threat, while Soumaila Sangaré has chipped in recently.</p> <h3>Data-Backed Betting Angles</h3> <ul> <li>Away Team to Score – Yes: Le Puy have 0 clean sheets and concede 1.75 GA at home; Paris 13 have scored in two of three away fixtures.</li> <li>Highest Scoring Half – 2nd Half: Both clubs consolidate before half-time and open up later; Le Puy’s and Paris’s venue-split scoring is entirely second-half.</li> <li>BTTS and Over 2.5: Le Puy’s BTTS rate (71%) is well above league average; Paris 13’s away Over 2.5 sits at 67%. Prices appear to underrate these trends.</li> </ul> <h3>Red Flags</h3> <p>Le Puy have failed to score in 50% of home matches—this is the key risk to BTTS. Conversely, Paris 13’s away attack is streaky: when they click late, they can score in bunches; when they don’t, they’re shut out. This volatility suggests stake management.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>Expect a cagey first half and a more expansive second half with both sides targeting space in transition. With Le Puy’s clean-sheet drought and Paris 13’s habit of scoring late away, the safest angle is the visitors to find at least one goal. Beyond that, the second half to be the highest scoring and BTTS at generous prices make sense. A 1-1 draw fits the data shape if finishing variance evens out.</p> </div>