Versailles vs Villefranche

<div> <h2>Versailles vs Villefranche: Form, Numbers and Value Bets</h2> <p>Versailles welcome Villefranche to Stade Municipal Georges Lefèvre on Tuesday night with promotion ambitions firmly in focus. As of October 5, no major injuries or suspensions have been flagged for either side, and both are expected to stick close to recent lineups. The setting is calm, the weather cooperative, and the statistical backdrop points clearly in one direction.</p> <h3>State of Play</h3> <p>Versailles sit 2nd and track 2nd in the last-8 form table, a profile of consistency home and away. Villefranche are 12th, decent at home but with pronounced travel issues — just 0.33 points per game away and only one goal scored in three road fixtures.</p> <h3>Tactical Outlook</h3> <p>Versailles have used a flexible 4-2-3-1/4-3-3. Expect Hugo Barbet to marshal a back line built on Ryan Tchato, Jérémi Santini and Bilal Cissé. In midfield, Romain Basque’s late runs and Jawed Kalai’s ball progression complement Samir Ben Brahim’s industry. The forward thrust comes from in-form Shelton Guillaume and Cédric Odzoumo, with Yohan Zemoura providing width. Crucially, Versailles are versatile scorers: Guillaume, Odzoumo, Basque, Zemoura and Ben Brahim have all contributed recently.</p> <p>Villefranche project a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 with Sullivan Péan in goal; Enzo Valentim, Tristan Grippon and Hamza Sbaï prominent at the back; Jordan Sebban, Raouf Mroivili and Vincent Marcel in midfield; and a front trio featuring Babacar Leye, Keba Sylla and Kenny Mixtur. Sylla’s late winner last time (2-1 vs Châteauroux) offers a spark, and Mroivili is a steady set-piece presence, but away output has been sparse.</p> <h3>Key Numbers That Shape the Match</h3> <ul> <li>Home vs Away PPG: Versailles 2.00 vs Villefranche 0.33.</li> <li>First goal dominance: Versailles scored first in 86% of matches; Villefranche have scored first away 0%.</li> <li>Goals at venue: Versailles 2.33 GF and 1.00 GA at home; Villefranche 0.33 GF and 1.67 GA away.</li> <li>Clean-sheet and FTS axis: Versailles CS 57%; Villefranche failed to score 50% overall and 67% away.</li> </ul> <h3>Timing and Control</h3> <p>Versailles average their first goal at minute 26, and they spend 51% of minutes leading. Villefranche average their first conceded at 27 minutes, and they lead for only 6% of minutes. The second half still matters here: Versailles are productive late (three goals in the 76–90 window), and Villefranche concede late away (two in 76–90). Expect Versailles to set the tone early and maintain control, with a fair chance of adding insurance after the break.</p> <h3>Market Perspective and Value</h3> <p>With consolidated odds pricing a home win at 1.85, there’s value relative to the underlying probabilities. Versailles to score first at 1.63 also stands out given the stark state-control metrics. If you prefer goals-based angles, Versailles Over 1.5 team goals at 2.09 is supported by a 2.33 home GF rate and multiple in-form scorers. For those anticipating Villefranche’s away struggles to persist, BTTS No at 1.75 is sensible. A slightly more speculative but numerically reasonable play is Versailles exactly two goals at 3.66, which covers the most plausible scorelines (2-0, 2-1) suggested by the averages.</p> <h3>What Could Upset the Narrative?</h3> <p>Two flags: small-ish early-season samples and Versailles’ low equalizing rate (0%) if they fall behind. Yet Villefranche have not scored first away, so that risk is tempered. With no injury disruptions and four days’ rest off the weekend fixtures, the matchup profile remains stable.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Versailles’ superior control metrics, early goal propensity, and Villefranche’s travel issues converge on a home victory. Expect the hosts to set the tempo and keep Villefranche’s chances to a minimum.</p> <p><strong>Projected score:</strong> Versailles 2–0 Villefranche.</p> </div>