Guingamp vs Laval
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<html> <head><title>Guingamp vs Laval – Ligue 2 Preview, Odds and Analysis</title></head> <body> <h2>Form Guide and Context</h2> <p>Guingamp return to the Stade du Roudourou looking to convert steady performances into points against a Laval side in a prolonged offensive slump. The hosts sit mid-table (10th) on 16 points from 12, while Laval hover 17th with 9 points from 11 and a six-match winless run. Local sentiment around Guingamp is cautiously optimistic; consistency in chance conversion is the recurring theme. Laval’s camp leans on resilience and away discipline, recalling last season’s positive head-to-head outcomes.</p> <h2>Venue Dynamics and Tactical Matchup</h2> <p>Roudourou isn’t a fortress this season: Guingamp’s home PPG is 1.33 with 1.33 GF and 1.83 GA. The twist is profile: their home matches have been “noisier” than league norm (3.17 total goals vs Ligue 2’s 2.59). Laval’s away profile is the polar opposite—1.60 total goals per game, conceding just 0.8 and scoring 0.8. Expect a clash of tempos: Guingamp look to press and combine through Amine Hemia and Gauthier Ott, while Laval compress space, tilt the field with Sam Sanna’s engine, and target Malik Tchokounté for direct outlets and set-pieces.</p> <h2>Current Trajectories</h2> <ul> <li>Guingamp (last 8): PPG up 12.8%, GA down 10.9%. However, they’re winless in 4 and goalless in 2.</li> <li>Laval (last 8): PPG down 8.5%; goals per game 0.38 (down 47.9%).</li> </ul> <p>The story is Laval’s drying attack. Ethan Clavreul (3) last scored in mid-September; Tchokounté’s last league strike was in August. Meanwhile Guingamp still produce from multiple sources: Louis Mafouta (4) leads the line, with Hemia (5 assists) crafting chances between lines and Donatien Gomis a threat at set plays.</p> <h2>Goal Timing and Game Flow</h2> <p>Ligue 2’s rhythm is usually conservative early, and this match magnifies that: Laval’s away halves show 50% of GF but 75% of GA after the interval, while Guingamp’s home splits tilt to second-half action (62% of GF and 64% of GA). Laval’s away average minute conceded is 62’, pointing to late cracks. The first half therefore profiles as cagey, with increased chaos as legs tire and spaces open in the second period.</p> <h2>Situational Edges</h2> <ul> <li>When scoring first: Guingamp 2.17 ppg; when conceding first: 0.40 ppg. Laval lead-defending 33% overall.</li> <li>Game state: Guingamp’s home lead-defending is solid (67%); Laval equalize at 50% but rarely threaten with volume.</li> </ul> <p>Given Laval’s failing output, Guingamp’s Draw No Bet appeals, protecting against the draw-heavy nature of Laval (6/11 overall and 60% away).</p> <h2>Market View and Best Bets</h2> <p>Markets still shade Guingamp toward overs due to early-season volatility, but the recent Laval trend flips the value.</p> <ul> <li>BTTS – No (1.95): Laval FTS 55% overall; only one BTTS in their last six. Guingamp come off two straight BTTS-No matches.</li> <li>1H Under 0.5 (2.75): Laval away 0-0 HT in 60%; both sides’ average first goal around halftime supports a slow burn.</li> <li>Highest Scoring Half – 2nd (2.00): Both teams concentrate goals after HT; Laval’s away concessions arrive late.</li> <li>Guingamp DNB +0 (1.55): Laval winless in 6, GF collapse; Guingamp trending slightly up under the hood.</li> <li>Scoreline lean: 1-0 Guingamp (6.25) aligns with the primary under/BTTS-No script.</li> </ul> <h2>Players and Set-Piece Watch</h2> <p>Guingamp’s Hemia is key for ball progression and final-third supply; Mafouta’s penalty-box movement matches up against Laval’s physical back line marshalled by Pellenard and Bianda. Donatien Gomis (3 goals) is a set-piece weapon. For Laval, Samassa’s shot-stopping (26 saves in 10) has preserved away points; Tchokounté remains their central reference, with Sanna and Thomas tasked to break pressure and win territorial duels.</p> <h2>Weather and Final Word</h2> <p>Cool, mild Brittany conditions favor intensity and late action rather than chaos. The Oracle expects a controlled first half, increasing second-half pressure from the hosts, and a low-scoring home-tilting outcome.</p> </body> </html>
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