Notts County vs Oldham
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<html> <head><title>Notts County vs Oldham Athletic: Betting Preview & Tactical Keys</title></head> <body> <h2>Notts County vs Oldham Athletic – Form, Tactics, Odds</h2> <p>Meadow Lane stages a fascinating clash between a strong home side and arguably League Two’s best away defense. Notts County’s attacking fireworks in Nottingham meet Oldham’s road steel on Saturday afternoon.</p> <h3>Form Snapshot</h3> <p>Notts County are formidable at home (3W-1D-1L), averaging 2.40 goals per game. They’ve won their last two at Meadow Lane to nil, including a 4-0 demolition of Crawley and a 1-0 over Fleetwood. A recent EFL Trophy win over Barnsley added a timely confidence boost after narrow league setbacks away at Gillingham and Crewe.</p> <p>Oldham are unbeaten away (W2 D3), conceding just once across five road matches and keeping four clean sheets. They’ve banked statement wins at Cambridge United (1-0) and Cheltenham (3-0) and drew their latest league game 1-1 at home against Barnet. The defensive base under Micky Mellon has been impressive and travel-proof so far.</p> <h3>Key Numbers To Know</h3> <ul> <li>Oldham away: 0.20 goals conceded per game; 80% clean sheets away.</li> <li>Notts at home: 2.00 PPG, scoring in 100% of home games; 40% home clean sheets.</li> <li>Oldham away draws: 60%; BTTS away: 20%.</li> <li>Form table (last 8): Notts 13 pts, Oldham 12 pts — both trending positively.</li> </ul> <h3>Tactical Match-Up</h3> <p>Martin Paterson’s Notts prefer front-foot football, using width from Jodi Jones and overlapping wing-backs like Nick Tsaroulla to overload and supply leading scorer Matthew Dennis. Their second-half productivity is notable (65% of league goals after the interval), often surging around the 60–75 minute window.</p> <p>Oldham, under Mellon, are compact and disciplined. Centre-backs Donervon Daniels and Emmanuel Monthe anchor a back four that stays narrow and repels crosses. Tom Conlon and Ryan Woods marshal midfield with intelligent positioning and distribution, supporting the counter threat of Joe Quigley and penalty-taker Michael Mellon. Away, they’re clinical at managing game states; if they score first, they haven’t let anyone back in.</p> <h3>Players To Watch</h3> <ul> <li>Matthew Dennis (Notts): 6 goals, 35% of team’s total; thrives on early service, though scoreless recently.</li> <li>Jodi Jones (Notts): key chance creator; draws fouls and wins territory.</li> <li>Michael Mellon (Oldham): pen duty, scored last round; focal point in tight away games.</li> <li>Donervon Daniels & Emmanuel Monthe (Oldham): aerially strong, excellent at defending the box; a big reason for the 80% away CS.</li> <li>Mathew Hudson (Oldham GK): 7.34 rating, 6 goals conceded in 10 — calm presence behind a settled back line.</li> </ul> <h3>Odds & Betting Angles</h3> <p>The market slightly favors Notts (2.15), but the better values sit elsewhere. Draw/Away double chance at 1.67 is backed by Oldham’s unbeaten road record and elite defense. With Oldham matches low-event (only 20% over 2.5), Under 2.5 at 1.80 and BTTS No at 1.95 both test as plus-EV despite Notts’ high-scoring home splits. If you want a higher price, the Draw at 3.35 aligns with Oldham’s 60% away draw rate.</p> <p>For a prop, Michael Mellon anytime at 3.60 is attractive: he’s on penalties (converted last week) and profiles as Oldham’s most likely scorer in a match where they might create fewer, but better, chances.</p> <h3>Context & Intangibles</h3> <p>Sentiment-wise, Notts fans want consistency and a “statement” home win to launch a playoff push. Oldham supporters remain buoyant — unbeaten away and organized, they look set for a solid mid-table season, perhaps better. With mild weather forecast and no major injury clouds reported, we should see near full-strength lineups.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Expect Notts to control phases and Oldham to absorb and counter. The visitors’ defensive metrics on the road are too strong to ignore. A tight game points to a share of the spoils or a single-goal margin either way.</p> <p><strong>Projected: 1-1</strong></p> </body> </html>
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