Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905
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<html> <head><title>Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 – Match Preview, Odds & Betting Analysis</title></head> <body> <h2>Match Context</h2> <p>Round 11 brings a tight-looking clash in Liberec: Slovan Liberec (7th, 15 pts) host Bohemians 1905 (9th, 14 pts). Both teams are unbeaten in multiple games (Liberec 4, Bohemians 5), suggesting fine margins and a result that could shape the mid-table race toward the European group in the Championship round.</p> <h3>Team News & Selection</h3> <p>Liberec’s squad depth is tested. Out are Jan Knapík, Martin Rýzek and Qëndrim Zyba, with doubts around Josef Koželuh and goalkeeper Ivan Krajčírik; striker Raimonds Krollis is a late decision. Expect a familiar spine: Tomáš Koubek in goal, Šimon Gabriel at right-back (2 goals), and midfield drive from Michal Hlavatý (1G, 4A). Up front, the workload likely splits between Lukáš Mašek and support runners like Soliu Afolabi.</p> <p>Bohemians are steadier selection-wise. Michal Reichl anchors in goal, with Jan Vondra and Vlasiy Sinyavskiy in a robust back line. In attack, Abdulla Yusuf Helal (2G, 20 shots) provides the target presence; Aleš Čermák (1G, 2A, 18 key passes) supplies creativity, and Vladimir Zeman’s recent goals add punch. Eric Ramirez remains out.</p> <h3>Styles, Tactics & Key Battles</h3> <p>Liberec under the current setup are disciplined and structured at home, allowing 1.00 GA per match and keeping games tight (home Over 2.5 hits only 20%). They press for set-pieces and late surges—note 60% of their goals arrive after the break. Bohemians away are balanced (1.25 GF/1.25 GA), but trend toward second-half production as well (60% away goals after half-time), with Helal’s aerial presence a focal point.</p> <p>The critical duel: Helal vs Gabriel/Hodouš on the Liberec right channel, with Čermák drifting to create overloads. Expect Liberec to target early territory; Bohemians’ away split shows they concede first 75% of the time and the average first concession is minute 13.</p> <h3>Data Trends That Matter</h3> <ul> <li>Totals: Liberec home totals average 2.20; 4/5 home matches finished under 2.5. Bohemians overall match totals 2.11.</li> <li>Timing: Both teams are stronger after half-time. Liberec have 60% of goals in the second half; Bohemians away, 60% GF in the second half, with a clean 76–90 away defensive record so far.</li> <li>Game state: If Bohemians score first, they rarely cough it up (away leadDefendingRate 100%). Conversely, Liberec at home tend to start on the front foot and are 60% to score first.</li> </ul> <h3>Odds & Value Angles</h3> <p>Bookmakers make Liberec favorites (1.85) but the sharper angle lies in totals and timing.</p> <ul> <li><strong>Under 2.5 @ 1.95</strong>: priced near evens against an 80% home under trend for Liberec, plus Bohemians’ modest season totals.</li> <li><strong>Highest Scoring Half: 2nd @ 2.00</strong>: aligns with both teams’ post-interval patterns and late-goal frequencies.</li> <li><strong>Home to score first @ 1.67</strong>: supported by Bohemians’ away habit of conceding first (75%) and a very early average first concession (13’).</li> <li><strong>Draw/Under 2.5 @ 4.75</strong>: longshot but coherent: both teams on unbeaten runs, low totals profile and strong lead protection mechanisms.</li> <li><strong>Correct score 1-1 @ 6.00</strong>: best-fit scoreline for a controlled, physical contest under cool, possibly wet conditions.</li> </ul> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Expect phases of control from Liberec early, Bohemians growing as the match stretches. With both sides defending leads well and creating more after half-time, a share of the points feels live—most plausibly in a 1-1 draw—while the data strongly supports the unders.</p> <h4>Key Stat</h4> <p><em>Liberec’s home Over 2.5 hit rate is just 20% (4 of 5 finished under).</em></p> </body> </html>
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