Deportivo Cali vs Deportivo Pereira
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<html> <head><title>Deportivo Cali vs Deportivo Pereira – Match Preview, Odds & Betting Insights</title></head> <body> <h2>Context and Stakes</h2> <p>Deportivo Cali host Deportivo Pereira at Estadio Deportivo Cali with both clubs jostling in a congested mid-table picture. With 13 rounds played, margins for the top-eight playoff phase are thin, and this fixture offers a crucial six-pointer in the race to stay in touch with the final slots.</p> <h3>Form Guide</h3> <p>Cali have trended upward across the last eight matches: their points per game (+14.5%) and goals for (+26.8%) have improved markedly versus season-long averages. They thumped La Equidad 4-0 away and edged Pasto 2-1 at home before a setback at Rionegro Águilas. Pereira arrive on a six-match winless run with three straight draws, and their attack has cooled (last-8 GF down 18.5%).</p> <h3>Venue Split: Home vs Away</h3> <p>The venue split may be decisive. Pereira’s away output is among the league’s least aggressive: just 0.33 goals per game on their travels, with a total of 1.17 match goals away and <b>0% of their away matches going over 2.5 goals</b>. They’ve yet to win away (3D, 3L) and have failed to score in two-thirds of away fixtures.</p> <p>Cali’s home numbers are more volatile—goals flow (3.00 total goals per home game) but their defense can leak (1.83 GA). That said, the matchup profile tends to bend to Pereira’s low-tempo away pattern. Expect Cali to carry more territory while Pereira seek to throttle the rhythm and pinch moments in transition or set plays.</p> <h3>Game State and Lead Dynamics</h3> <p>Game state strongly favors Cali. The hosts defend leads at 67% this season and are especially potent when they score first (2.60 PPG overall). Pereira’s away lead-defending rate is <b>0%</b>, and they’ve allowed opponents to score first 67% of the time on the road. If Cali draw first blood, Pereira rarely overturn the state, and their away second-half scoring is a stark <b>0 goals</b> to date—reducing late equalizer risk.</p> <h3>Timing Trends: Early Edge vs Late Drift</h3> <p>Cali start well at home (average first goal scored minute 11), while Pereira’s away average first conceded comes near the half-hour mark. One caveat for the hosts: they do concede late at home (five goals allowed 76’–90’). However, Pereira’s away second half offers negligible threat, which balances that late-stage risk.</p> <h3>Key Players and Matchups</h3> <p>For Cali, Andrey Estupiñán is the headline act—seven league goals, many from the spot, and in lively recent form. Avilés Hurtado remains another penalty-capable forward who draws contact and pressure in the final third. For Pereira, veteran goalkeeper Salvador Ichazo is pivotal; he will need to keep them in the game as chance volumes tilt towards Cali. Up top, Pereira’s recognized names have not translated away into production—hence the low away GF.</p> <h3>Markets to Watch</h3> <ul> <li><b>Cali Draw No Bet (1.73)</b>: Backed by Pereira’s 0 away wins and poor lead retention. Rising Cali form adds support.</li> <li><b>Under 2.5 (1.60)</b>: Pereira away unders are persistent (0% O2.5). Even with Cali’s home volatility, the away drag is strong.</li> <li><b>Pereira Under 0.5 Goals (2.65)</b>: A value play vs a 67% away FTS rate. Price implies much lower probability than observed.</li> <li><b>HT Draw (1.93)</b>: Pereira’s 54% HT draws overall and 50% away reflect conservative starts; combined with Cali’s game control, a level interval is plausible.</li> <li><b>Anytime Scorer – Estupiñán (3.40)</b>: Team’s top scorer and set-piece duty; the most likely individual to break the deadlock.</li> </ul> <h3>Red Flags</h3> <p>The biggest counter is Cali’s zero home clean sheets clashing with Pereira’s away FTS rate. That’s why Under 0.5 away is recommended as a value angle rather than the highest-confidence play. Additionally, Cali’s home matches skew higher scoring than the league norm, tempering unders confidence slightly.</p> <h3>Projected Pattern</h3> <p>Cali to press early, Pereira compact and reactive. If Cali score first, the match should settle into a lower-tempo state, keeping goals down and steering towards a home result with insurance against a draw.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p><b>Cali Draw No Bet</b> preferred on the 1X2-axis, paired with <b>Under 2.5</b>. Side stake: <i>Pereira Under 0.5 goals</i>. For a player angle, Estupiñán anytime is the standout.</p> </body> </html>
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